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DOI10.1007/s41060-024-00547-4
Time series forecasting of wheat crop productivity in Egypt using deep learning techniques
发表日期2024
ISSN2364-415X
EISSN2364-4168
英文摘要Egypt's agricultural sector plays a critical role in the country's economy, with wheat cultivation being vital for ensuring food security. However, the challenges faced by wheat farming in Egypt, such as climate change, water scarcity, and pest infestations, contribute to yield fluctuations, highlighting the need for accurate and timely predictions of wheat productivity. To address this need, time series analysis is employed, which involves analyzing data collected at regular intervals over a specific time frame. Time series data can encompass multiple variables recorded simultaneously at each interval, known as multivariate time series data. Traditional statistical methods have been commonly used for time series analysis. However, these methods have limitations when dealing with nonlinear and complex data patterns, especially in agricultural data exhibiting spatiotemporal characteristics. Deep learning techniques have emerged as a promising solution to address these limitations. In this paper, we have developed the multivariate multi-head attention temporal convolutional networks (MATCN) model specifically to handle the spatiotemporal nature of multivariate time series data in the context of wheat crop productivity prediction in Egypt. The experimental results revealed that our proposed MATCN model exhibited the most effective prediction performance when compared to other state-of-the-art models, achieving a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values ranging from 0.091 to 5.5%.
英文关键词Time series; Deep learning; Long short-term memory (LSTM); Gated recurrent units (GRU); Temporal convolutional networks (TCN); Attention mechanism
语种英语
WOS研究方向Computer Science
WOS类目Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Information Systems
WOS记录号WOS:001226717500001
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DATA SCIENCE AND ANALYTICS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/296966
作者单位Egyptian Knowledge Bank (EKB); Cairo University; Egyptian Knowledge Bank (EKB); Cairo University; Egyptian Knowledge Bank (EKB); Agricultural Research Center - Egypt
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GB/T 7714
. Time series forecasting of wheat crop productivity in Egypt using deep learning techniques[J],2024.
APA (2024).Time series forecasting of wheat crop productivity in Egypt using deep learning techniques.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DATA SCIENCE AND ANALYTICS.
MLA "Time series forecasting of wheat crop productivity in Egypt using deep learning techniques".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DATA SCIENCE AND ANALYTICS (2024).
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