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DOI10.1093/icesjms/fsae030
On the probable distribution of stock-recruitment resilience of Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) in the Northwest Pacific Ocean
Hsu, Jhen; Chang, Yi-Jay; Brodziak, Jon; Kai, Mikihiko; Punt, Andre E.
发表日期2024
ISSN1054-3139
EISSN1095-9289
起始页码81
结束页码4
卷号81期号:4
英文摘要Determining how resilient a stock-recruitment relationship is to environmental variation is crucial for fisheries management. Steepness is a key factor characterizing the resilience of a fish stock and, hence, for establishing management reference points. This study estimates the distribution of steepness for Pacific saury using a simulation approach based on evolutionary ecology and reproductive biology, and how it changes in response to environmental change. The median estimated steepness is 0.82 (80% probable range 0.59, 0.93) based on the best available biological information, which suggests that Pacific saury can produce a relatively high proportion of unfished recruitment when depleted to 20% of unfished spawning biomass. Elasticity analysis indicates that steepness for Pacific saury is most sensitive to the survival rate of early life stages, mean body weight, growth, and length-at-maturity. Environmental change could substantially impact steepness, with unfavorable conditions related to survival rates, length-at-maturity, mean body weight, and growth potentially leading to a reduction in resilience. Understanding these impacts is crucial for the assessment and management of Pacific saury. Our numerical simulation approach provides an analytical tool applicable for calculating the steepness distribution in other small pelagic fish influenced by increases in sea surface temperature due to global warming.
英文关键词resilience; stock-recruitment relationship; steepness; life-history parameters; climate change
语种英语
WOS研究方向Fisheries ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography
WOS类目Fisheries ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Oceanography
WOS记录号WOS:001195182300001
来源期刊ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/296629
作者单位National Taiwan University; National Oceanic Atmospheric Admin (NOAA) - USA; Japan Fisheries Research & Education Agency (FRA); University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Hsu, Jhen,Chang, Yi-Jay,Brodziak, Jon,et al. On the probable distribution of stock-recruitment resilience of Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) in the Northwest Pacific Ocean[J],2024,81(4).
APA Hsu, Jhen,Chang, Yi-Jay,Brodziak, Jon,Kai, Mikihiko,&Punt, Andre E..(2024).On the probable distribution of stock-recruitment resilience of Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) in the Northwest Pacific Ocean.ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE,81(4).
MLA Hsu, Jhen,et al."On the probable distribution of stock-recruitment resilience of Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) in the Northwest Pacific Ocean".ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE 81.4(2024).
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