气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Probabilistic evaluation of three generations of climate models for simulating precipitation over the Western Himalayas

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DOI	10.1007/s12040-023-02216-9
	Probabilistic evaluation of three generations of climate models for simulating precipitation over the Western Himalayas
	Meher, Jitendra Kumar; Das, Lalu
发表日期	2024
ISSN	2347-4327
EISSN	0973-774X
起始页码	133
结束页码	1
卷号	133 期号:1
英文摘要	The current study aimed to assess the ability of Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the third, fifth, and sixth phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) to reproduce observed rainfall over the Western Himalaya Region (WHR) between 1901 and 2000. A probabilistic approach was adopted to evaluate the models' skill in capturing the observed precipitation from 22 India Meteorological Department stations by comparing their probability distribution function (PDF) with that of the observed rainfall. The results indicated that all three generations of climate models could adequately reproduce the PDF of observed precipitation, surpassing the observed PDFs in both annual and monsoon seasons. Subsequently, each model was assigned a rank based on its skill score. The Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory model from CMIP3, the community Earth system model from CMIP5, and the CMIP6 model from the Met Office Hadley Centre achieved the highest ranks, accurately capturing the distribution of observed precipitation over WHR. Remarkably, the Japanese model from the Model for Interdisciplinary Research and the UK model from Hadley Centre exhibited consistently high performance across all three CMIP generations. Overall, the top-ranked models from each generation can be deemed reliable for use by researchers and decision-makers concerned with the impact of climate change on the Western Himalaya Region.
英文关键词	Global climate model evaluation; Western Himalaya; probabilistic approach
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Geology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001137242200002
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/296295
作者单位	Bidhan Chandra Agricultural University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Meher, Jitendra Kumar,Das, Lalu. Probabilistic evaluation of three generations of climate models for simulating precipitation over the Western Himalayas[J],2024,133(1).
APA	Meher, Jitendra Kumar,&Das, Lalu.(2024).Probabilistic evaluation of three generations of climate models for simulating precipitation over the Western Himalayas.JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE,133(1).
MLA	Meher, Jitendra Kumar,et al."Probabilistic evaluation of three generations of climate models for simulating precipitation over the Western Himalayas".JOURNAL OF EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE 133.1(2024).