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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ad2ee9
Health cost impacts of extreme temperature on older adults based on city-level data from 28 provinces in China
Yu, Yan-Yan; Liang, Qiao-mei; Hou, Juan-juan; Fujii, Minoru; Qian, Ta-na; He, Zi-yan; Wang, He-jing
发表日期2024
ISSN1748-9326
起始页码19
结束页码4
卷号19期号:4
英文摘要Extreme temperature exposure can have a considerable impact on the health of older adults. China, which has entered a deeply aging society, may be obviously threatened by extreme weather. Based on data obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we apply a panel fixed effect model to investigate the impact of extreme temperature on medical costs for older adults. The results reveal a U-shaped relationship between temperature and older adults' medical costs. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that medical costs for older adults in the South and older adults in rural areas are more significantly affected by low temperatures, mainly due to lower per capita heating facilities. Furthermore, the medical costs of older people with lower education levels are also more susceptible to temperature fluctuations. Our simulated prediction indicates that the medical costs of older adults in 2050 will be 2.7 trillion Chinese yuan under the RCP8.5 scenario, but can be reduced by 4.6% and 7.4% following RCP4.5 and RCP2.6 scenarios, respectively. Compared with base period, the medical costs of older adults in western provinces such as Guangxi and Sichuan will more than triple by 2050. Policymakers should prioritize addressing the health needs of these vulnerable groups and less developed regions with less adaptive capacity.
英文关键词older adults; extreme temperature; health cost; panel fixed effect model
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001185372500001
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/296237
作者单位Beijing Institute of Technology; Beijing Institute of Technology; National Institute for Environmental Studies - Japan; Beijing Normal University; University of Tokyo; Macquarie University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yu, Yan-Yan,Liang, Qiao-mei,Hou, Juan-juan,et al. Health cost impacts of extreme temperature on older adults based on city-level data from 28 provinces in China[J],2024,19(4).
APA Yu, Yan-Yan.,Liang, Qiao-mei.,Hou, Juan-juan.,Fujii, Minoru.,Qian, Ta-na.,...&Wang, He-jing.(2024).Health cost impacts of extreme temperature on older adults based on city-level data from 28 provinces in China.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(4).
MLA Yu, Yan-Yan,et al."Health cost impacts of extreme temperature on older adults based on city-level data from 28 provinces in China".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.4(2024).
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