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DOI10.1038/s41559-023-02287-3
Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe
发表日期2024
ISSN2397-334X
起始页码8
结束页码3
卷号8期号:3
英文摘要To meet the COP15 biodiversity framework in the European Union (EU), one target is to protect 30% of its land by 2030 through a resilient transnational conservation network. The European Alps are a key hub of this network hosting some of the most extensive natural areas and biodiversity hotspots in Europe. Here we assess the robustness of the current European reserve network to safeguard the European Alps' flora by 2080 using semi-mechanistic simulations. We first highlight that the current network needs strong readjustments as it does not capture biodiversity patterns as well as our conservation simulations. Overall, we predict a strong shift in conservation need through time along latitudes, and from lower to higher elevations as plants migrate upslope and shrink their distribution. While increasing species, trait and evolutionary diversity, migration could also threaten 70% of the resident flora. In the face of global changes, the future European reserve network will need to ensure strong elevation and latitudinal connections to complementarily protect multifaceted biodiversity beyond national borders. Simulations of species range shifts for flora of the European Alps under varying climate and land-use models to 2080 provide the basis for spatial conservation planning to preserve taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional diversity.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
WOS类目Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
WOS记录号WOS:001153349900003
来源期刊NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/296210
作者单位Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow & Landscape Research; McGill University; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Communaute Universite Grenoble Alpes; Universite Grenoble Alpes (UGA); Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Universite Savoie Mont Blanc; Universite Gustave-Eiffel
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GB/T 7714
. Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe[J],2024,8(3).
APA (2024).Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe.NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION,8(3).
MLA "Transnational conservation to anticipate future plant shifts in Europe".NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION 8.3(2024).
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