气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability

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DOI	10.1098/rstb.2022.0261
	Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability
	Jorgensen, Peter Sogaard; Jansen, Raf E. V.; Ortega, Daniel I. Avila; Wang-Erlandsson, Lan; Donges, Jonathan F.; Oesterblom, Henrik; Olsson, Per; Nystroem, Magnus; Lade, Steven J.; Hahn, Thomas; Folke, Carl; Peterson, Garry D.; Crepin, Anne-Sophie
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0962-8436
EISSN	1471-2970
起始页码	379
结束页码	1893
卷号	379 期号:1893
英文摘要	The Anthropocene is characterized by accelerating change and global challenges of increasing complexity. Inspired by what some have called a polycrisis, we explore whether the human trajectory of increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system could become a form of trap for humanity. Based on an adaptation of the evolutionary traps concept to a global human context, we present results from a participatory mapping. We identify 14 traps and categorize them as either global, technology or structural traps. An assessment reveals that 12 traps (86%) could be in an advanced phase of trapping with high risk of hard-to-reverse lock-ins and growing risks of negative impacts on human well-being. Ten traps (71%) currently see growing trends in their indicators. Revealing the systemic nature of the polycrisis, we assess that Anthropocene traps often interact reinforcingly (45% of pairwise interactions), and rarely in a dampening fashion (3%). We end by discussing capacities that will be important for navigating these systemic challenges in pursuit of global sustainability. Doing so, we introduce evolvability as a unifying concept for such research between the sustainability and evolutionary sciences.This article is part of the theme issue 'Evolution and sustainability: gathering the strands for an Anthropocene synthesis'.
英文关键词	cultural evolution; social-ecological systems; participatory mapping; complex adaptive systems; evolutionary traps
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics
WOS类目	Biology
WOS记录号	WOS:001142513400009
来源期刊	PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/296138
作者单位	Stockholm University; Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences; Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences; Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences; Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics; Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung; Australian National University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Jorgensen, Peter Sogaard,Jansen, Raf E. V.,Ortega, Daniel I. Avila,et al. Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability[J],2024,379(1893).
APA	Jorgensen, Peter Sogaard.,Jansen, Raf E. V..,Ortega, Daniel I. Avila.,Wang-Erlandsson, Lan.,Donges, Jonathan F..,...&Crepin, Anne-Sophie.(2024).Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability.PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES,379(1893).
MLA	Jorgensen, Peter Sogaard,et al."Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability".PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES 379.1893(2024).