气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Inferring the impacts of climate extreme in the Kabul River Basin

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DOI	10.1007/s10113-023-02167-3
	Inferring the impacts of climate extreme in the Kabul River Basin
	Khatiwada, Kabi Raj; Pradhananga, Saurav; Nepal, Santosh
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1436-3798
EISSN	1436-378X
起始页码	24
结束页码	1
卷号	24 期号:1
英文摘要	The increasing temperature and variability in precipitation, in terms of both frequency and intensity, are affecting different sectors in the Himalayan region. This study aims to quantify the future scenario and related extremes in the Kabul River Basin (KRB) of the western Himalaya using high-resolution climate datasets. We selected four representative General Circulation Model (GCM) runs from Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, based on future projections, climatic extremes and their abilities to represent the historical climate cycle (1981-2010) of KRB. The seasonal analysis of precipitation shows decreasing pattern during the winter and pre-monsoon seasons and annual mean temperature will increase consistently by 3 to 5 degrees C in RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Ten indices were selected to study climatic extremes pertaining to the health, agriculture and water resources sectors. The extremes, like consecutive summer days, warm days and heatwaves, will increase, whereas the frost days, cold nights, cold waves and extreme precipitation days will decrease towards the end of this century. Besides, the extremes are not homogenous in time and space. Based on the results of this study, there is a need for prompt climate actions in order to increase the adaptive capacity against these extreme changes and to build resilient livelihoods in the KRB.
英文关键词	Western Himalaya; Afghanistan; Increasing temperature; Warm days; Climate change impact
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001152381500001
来源期刊	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/295894
作者单位	University of Arkansas System; University of Arkansas Fayetteville; CGIAR; International Water Management Institute (IWMI)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Khatiwada, Kabi Raj,Pradhananga, Saurav,Nepal, Santosh. Inferring the impacts of climate extreme in the Kabul River Basin[J],2024,24(1).
APA	Khatiwada, Kabi Raj,Pradhananga, Saurav,&Nepal, Santosh.(2024).Inferring the impacts of climate extreme in the Kabul River Basin.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,24(1).
MLA	Khatiwada, Kabi Raj,et al."Inferring the impacts of climate extreme in the Kabul River Basin".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 24.1(2024).