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DOI10.3390/geosciences14040106
A Meteorological Drought Migration Model for Assessing the Spatiotemporal Paths of Drought in the Choushui River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan
Yeh, Hsin-Fu; Lin, Xin-Yu; Huang, Chia-Chi; Chen, Hsin-Yu
发表日期2024
EISSN2076-3263
起始页码14
结束页码4
卷号14期号:4
英文摘要Understanding drought evolution and its driving factors is crucial for effective water resource management and forecasting. This study enhances the analysis of drought probability by constructing bivariate distributions, providing a more realistic perspective than single-characteristic approaches. Additionally, a meteorological drought migration model is established to explore spatiotemporal paths and related characteristics of major drought events in the Choushui River alluvial fan. The results reveal a significant increase in the probability of southward-moving drought events after 1981. Before 1981, drought paths were diverse, while after 1981, these paths became remarkably similar, following a trajectory from north to south. This is primarily attributed to the higher rainfall in the northern region of the Choushui River alluvial fan from February to April, leading to a consistent southward movement of drought centroids. This study proposes that climate change is a primary factor influencing changes in the spatiotemporal paths of drought. It implies that changes in rainfall patterns and climate conditions can be discerned through the meteorological drought migration model. As a result, it provides the potential for simplifying drought-monitoring methods. These research findings provide further insight into the dynamic process of drought in the Choushui River alluvial fan and serve as valuable references for future water resource management.
英文关键词standardized precipitation index; bivariate copula function; drought migration model; drought spatiotemporal path; Choushui River alluvial fan
语种英语
WOS研究方向Geology
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS记录号WOS:001210437300001
来源期刊GEOSCIENCES
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/295741
作者单位National Cheng Kung University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yeh, Hsin-Fu,Lin, Xin-Yu,Huang, Chia-Chi,et al. A Meteorological Drought Migration Model for Assessing the Spatiotemporal Paths of Drought in the Choushui River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan[J],2024,14(4).
APA Yeh, Hsin-Fu,Lin, Xin-Yu,Huang, Chia-Chi,&Chen, Hsin-Yu.(2024).A Meteorological Drought Migration Model for Assessing the Spatiotemporal Paths of Drought in the Choushui River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan.GEOSCIENCES,14(4).
MLA Yeh, Hsin-Fu,et al."A Meteorological Drought Migration Model for Assessing the Spatiotemporal Paths of Drought in the Choushui River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan".GEOSCIENCES 14.4(2024).
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