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DOI | 10.3390/geosciences14040106 |
A Meteorological Drought Migration Model for Assessing the Spatiotemporal Paths of Drought in the Choushui River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan | |
Yeh, Hsin-Fu; Lin, Xin-Yu; Huang, Chia-Chi; Chen, Hsin-Yu | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
EISSN | 2076-3263 |
起始页码 | 14 |
结束页码 | 4 |
卷号 | 14期号:4 |
英文摘要 | Understanding drought evolution and its driving factors is crucial for effective water resource management and forecasting. This study enhances the analysis of drought probability by constructing bivariate distributions, providing a more realistic perspective than single-characteristic approaches. Additionally, a meteorological drought migration model is established to explore spatiotemporal paths and related characteristics of major drought events in the Choushui River alluvial fan. The results reveal a significant increase in the probability of southward-moving drought events after 1981. Before 1981, drought paths were diverse, while after 1981, these paths became remarkably similar, following a trajectory from north to south. This is primarily attributed to the higher rainfall in the northern region of the Choushui River alluvial fan from February to April, leading to a consistent southward movement of drought centroids. This study proposes that climate change is a primary factor influencing changes in the spatiotemporal paths of drought. It implies that changes in rainfall patterns and climate conditions can be discerned through the meteorological drought migration model. As a result, it provides the potential for simplifying drought-monitoring methods. These research findings provide further insight into the dynamic process of drought in the Choushui River alluvial fan and serve as valuable references for future water resource management. |
英文关键词 | standardized precipitation index; bivariate copula function; drought migration model; drought spatiotemporal path; Choushui River alluvial fan |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001210437300001 |
来源期刊 | GEOSCIENCES
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/295741 |
作者单位 | National Cheng Kung University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yeh, Hsin-Fu,Lin, Xin-Yu,Huang, Chia-Chi,et al. A Meteorological Drought Migration Model for Assessing the Spatiotemporal Paths of Drought in the Choushui River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan[J],2024,14(4). |
APA | Yeh, Hsin-Fu,Lin, Xin-Yu,Huang, Chia-Chi,&Chen, Hsin-Yu.(2024).A Meteorological Drought Migration Model for Assessing the Spatiotemporal Paths of Drought in the Choushui River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan.GEOSCIENCES,14(4). |
MLA | Yeh, Hsin-Fu,et al."A Meteorological Drought Migration Model for Assessing the Spatiotemporal Paths of Drought in the Choushui River Alluvial Fan, Taiwan".GEOSCIENCES 14.4(2024). |
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