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| DOI | 10.1038/s41598-023-48136-y |
| Distribution of economic damages due to climate-driven sea-level rise across European regions and sectors | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 2045-2322 |
| 起始页码 | 14 |
| 结束页码 | 1 |
| 卷号 | 14期号:1 |
| 英文摘要 | Economic costs of climate change are conventionally assessed at the aggregated global and national levels, while adaptation is local. When present, regionalised assessments are confined to direct damages, hindered by both data and models' limitations. This article goes beyond the aggregated analysis to explore direct and indirect economic consequences of sea level rise (SLR) at regional and sectoral levels in Europe. Using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model and novel datasets, we estimate the distribution of losses and gains across regions and sectors. A comparison of a high-end scenario against a no-climate-impact baseline suggests a GDP loss of 1.26% (Euro871.8 billion) for the whole EU&UK. Conversely our refined assessments show that some coastal regions lose 9.56-20.84% of GDP, revealing striking regional disparities. Inland regions grow due to the displaced demand from coastal areas, but the GDP gains are small (0-1.13%). While recovery benefits the construction sector, public services and industry face significant downturns. We show that prioritising recovery of critical sectors locally reduces massive regional GDP losses, at negligible costs to the overall European economy. Our analysis traces regional economic restructuring triggered by SLR, underscoring the necessity of region-specific adaptation policies that embrace uneven geographic impacts and unique sectoral profiles to inform resilient strategy design. |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001145797200002 |
| 来源期刊 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/295636 |
| 作者单位 | Delft University of Technology; Delft University of Technology; Universita Ca Foscari Venezia; Universita Ca Foscari Venezia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Distribution of economic damages due to climate-driven sea-level rise across European regions and sectors[J],2024,14(1). |
| APA | (2024).Distribution of economic damages due to climate-driven sea-level rise across European regions and sectors.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,14(1). |
| MLA | "Distribution of economic damages due to climate-driven sea-level rise across European regions and sectors".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 14.1(2024). |
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