气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming

CCPortal

DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ad0c89
	A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming
	Huprikar, Annika S.; Stansfield, Alyssa M.; Reed, Kevin A.
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1748-9326
起始页码	19
结束页码	1
卷号	19 期号:1
英文摘要	Understanding how extreme weather, such as tropical cyclones, will change with future climate warming is an interesting computational challenge. Here, the hindcast approach is used to create different storylines of a particular tropical cyclone, Hurricane Irma (2017). Using the community atmosphere model, we explore how Irma's precipitation would change under various levels of climate warming. Analysis is focused on a 48 h period where the simulated hurricane tracks reasonably represent Irma's observed track. Under future scenarios of 2 K, 3 K, and 4 K global average surface temperature increase above pre-industrial levels, the mean 3-hourly rainfall rates in the simulated storms increase by 3-7% K-1 compared to present. This change increases in magnitude for the 95th and 99th percentile 3-hourly rates, which intensify by 10-13% K-1 and 17-21% K-1, respectively. Over Florida, the simulated mean rainfall accumulations increase by 16-26% K-1, with local maxima increasing by 18-43% K-1. All percent changes increase monotonically with warming level.
英文关键词	tropical cyclones; precipitation; extremes; storylines; climate change
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001110275900001
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/293665
作者单位	State University of New York (SUNY) System; State University of New York (SUNY) Stony Brook; Harvard University; Colorado State University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Huprikar, Annika S.,Stansfield, Alyssa M.,Reed, Kevin A.. A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming[J],2024,19(1).
APA	Huprikar, Annika S.,Stansfield, Alyssa M.,&Reed, Kevin A..(2024).A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(1).
MLA	Huprikar, Annika S.,et al."A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.1(2024).