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| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0c89 |
| A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 1748-9326 |
| 起始页码 | 19 |
| 结束页码 | 1 |
| 卷号 | 19期号:1 |
| 英文摘要 | Understanding how extreme weather, such as tropical cyclones, will change with future climate warming is an interesting computational challenge. Here, the hindcast approach is used to create different storylines of a particular tropical cyclone, Hurricane Irma (2017). Using the community atmosphere model, we explore how Irma's precipitation would change under various levels of climate warming. Analysis is focused on a 48 h period where the simulated hurricane tracks reasonably represent Irma's observed track. Under future scenarios of 2 K, 3 K, and 4 K global average surface temperature increase above pre-industrial levels, the mean 3-hourly rainfall rates in the simulated storms increase by 3-7% K-1 compared to present. This change increases in magnitude for the 95th and 99th percentile 3-hourly rates, which intensify by 10-13% K-1 and 17-21% K-1, respectively. Over Florida, the simulated mean rainfall accumulations increase by 16-26% K-1, with local maxima increasing by 18-43% K-1. All percent changes increase monotonically with warming level. |
| 英文关键词 | tropical cyclones; precipitation; extremes; storylines; climate change |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001110275900001 |
| 来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/293663 |
| 作者单位 | State University of New York (SUNY) System; State University of New York (SUNY) Stony Brook; Harvard University; Colorado State University |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming[J],2024,19(1). |
| APA | (2024).A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,19(1). |
| MLA | "A storyline analysis of Hurricane Irma's precipitation under various levels of climate warming".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 19.1(2024). |
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