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| DOI | 10.2166/wcc.2024.494 |
| Artificial neural networks for monthly precipitation prediction in north-west Algeria: a case study in the Oranie-Chott-Chergui basin | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 2040-2244 |
| EISSN | 2408-9354 |
| 英文摘要 | The north-west region of Algeria, pivotal for the nation's water resources and agriculture, faces challenges from changing precipitation patterns due to climate change. In response, our study introduces a robust forecasting tool utilizing artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict monthly precipitation over a 12-month horizon. We meticulously evaluated two normalization methods, ANN-SS and ANN-MM, and assessed four distinct approaches for selecting input variables (no selection, ANN-WO, ANN-CO, and ANN-VE) to optimize model performance. Our research contributes significantly to the field by addressing a critical gap in understanding the impact of evolving precipitation patterns on water resources. Among the innovations, this study uniquely focuses on medium-term precipitation forecasting, an aspect often marginalized in previous research. Noteworthy outcomes include correlation coefficients of 0.48 and 0.49 during the validation phase, particularly with the Endogen variables and correlation-optimized models using Min-Max normalization. Additionally, the Min-Max normalized technique achieves an impressive 67.71% accuracy in predicting the hydrological situation based on the Standard Precipitation Index. |
| 英文关键词 | Algeria; artificial neural network (ANN); hydrology; precipitation prediction; water management |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
| WOS类目 | Water Resources |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001152546300001 |
| 来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/293392 |
| 作者单位 | Universite Saad Dahlab de Blida |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Artificial neural networks for monthly precipitation prediction in north-west Algeria: a case study in the Oranie-Chott-Chergui basin[J],2024. |
| APA | (2024).Artificial neural networks for monthly precipitation prediction in north-west Algeria: a case study in the Oranie-Chott-Chergui basin.JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE. |
| MLA | "Artificial neural networks for monthly precipitation prediction in north-west Algeria: a case study in the Oranie-Chott-Chergui basin".JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE (2024). |
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