Climate Change Data Portal
| DOI | 10.1007/s11069-024-06403-9 |
| Projections patterns of precipitation concentration under climate change scenarios | |
| Ashrafi, Saeideh; Karbalaee, Ali Reza; Kamangar, Muhammad | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 0921-030X |
| EISSN | 1573-0840 |
| 起始页码 | 120 |
| 结束页码 | 5 |
| 卷号 | 120期号:5 |
| 英文摘要 | Precipitation is the most important climate element in supplying Iran's water resources. Its regular temporal distribution will guarantee the sustainability of water resources. Estimating precipitation behavior in near future will improve managing water resources. Therefore, the current study aimed to examine precipitation regulation in near future (2021-2040). To this end, five models-namely GFDL-ESM4, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MRI-ESM2, and UKESM1-0-LL-along with the data of 95 synoptic stations were used. Upon estimating precipitation by the use of these models, the estimated data were ensemble using a multi-model ensemble model, which was based on the correlation-weighted average. Assessing the estimation error indicated the reduction of error rate in the ensemble data. Precipitation concentration index (PCI), precipitation concentration period (PCP), and precipitation concentration degree (PCD) were used to study precipitation regulation in near future. The results suggested more precipitation regulation in the north, northwest, and northeast of Iran, while more precipitation concentration was observed in southern parts of Iran. The precipitation concentration in southern parts of Iran indicates lower precipitation regulation in this area. |
| 英文关键词 | Precipitation concentration; Near future; Ensemble model; Iran |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
| WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001149121700001 |
| 来源期刊 | NATURAL HAZARDS
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/293246 |
| 作者单位 | Kharazmi University |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ashrafi, Saeideh,Karbalaee, Ali Reza,Kamangar, Muhammad. Projections patterns of precipitation concentration under climate change scenarios[J],2024,120(5). |
| APA | Ashrafi, Saeideh,Karbalaee, Ali Reza,&Kamangar, Muhammad.(2024).Projections patterns of precipitation concentration under climate change scenarios.NATURAL HAZARDS,120(5). |
| MLA | Ashrafi, Saeideh,et al."Projections patterns of precipitation concentration under climate change scenarios".NATURAL HAZARDS 120.5(2024). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
