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| DOI | 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.01.004 |
| Fertility rate, fertility policy, and climate policy: A case study in China | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 0954-349X |
| EISSN | 1873-6017 |
| 起始页码 | 69 |
| 卷号 | 69 |
| 英文摘要 | Although population growth plays a vital role in driving anthropogenic climate change, fertility impact on achieving mitigation target is usually overlooked in literature. This paper attempts to narrow the research gap by employing a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the interrelations among fertility rate, fertility policy, and climate policy in China. The model results show that fertility rate negatively correlates with GDP and emissions because higher fertility induces more labor for childcare and thus crowds out labor for work. The three-child policy raises fertility intention; it does not unidirectionally influence the effects of the emission trading scheme (ETS) on employment and GDP, but it increases ETS emission abatement. Technological progress increases GDP and decreases emissions; the three-child policy strengthens technological impact on GDP but weakens technological impact on emissions. Hence, technological progress benefits emission mitigation; the three-child policy enhances economic benefits but impairs emission abatement of technological progress. |
| 英文关键词 | Fertility rate; Three -child policy; Emission trading scheme; Computable general equilibrium model; China |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics |
| WOS类目 | Economics |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001154719400001 |
| 来源期刊 | STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND ECONOMIC DYNAMICS
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| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/292751 |
| 作者单位 | Tsinghua University |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Fertility rate, fertility policy, and climate policy: A case study in China[J],2024,69. |
| APA | (2024).Fertility rate, fertility policy, and climate policy: A case study in China.STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND ECONOMIC DYNAMICS,69. |
| MLA | "Fertility rate, fertility policy, and climate policy: A case study in China".STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND ECONOMIC DYNAMICS 69(2024). |
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