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DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2306281121 |
Exposing omitted moderators: Explaining why effect sizes differ in the social sciences | |
Krefeld-Schwalb, Antonia; Sugerman, Eli Rosen; Johnson, Eric J. | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0027-8424 |
EISSN | 1091-6490 |
起始页码 | 121 |
结束页码 | 12 |
卷号 | 121期号:12 |
英文摘要 | Policymakers increasingly rely on behavioral science in response to global challenges, such as climate change or global health crises. But applications of behavioral science face an important problem: Interventions often exert substantially different effects across contexts and individuals. We examine this heterogeneity for different paradigms that underlie many behavioral interventions. We study the paradigms in a series of five preregistered studies across one in- person and 10 online panels, with over 11,000 respondents in total. We find substantial heterogeneity across settings and paradigms, apply techniques for modeling the heterogeneity, and introduce a framework that measures typically omitted moderators. The framework's factors (Fluid Intelligence, Attentiveness, Crystallized Intelligence, and Experience) affect the effectiveness of many text - based interventions, producing different observed effect sizes and explaining variations across samples. Moderators are associated with effect sizes through two paths, with the intensity of the manipulation and with the effect of the manipulation directly. Our results motivate observing these moderators and provide a theoretical and empirical framework for understanding and predicting varying effect sizes in the social sciences. |
英文关键词 | online data collection; choice architecture; moderators |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001208307100009 |
来源期刊 | PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/292674 |
作者单位 | Erasmus University Rotterdam; Erasmus University Rotterdam - Excl Erasmus MC; Columbia University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Krefeld-Schwalb, Antonia,Sugerman, Eli Rosen,Johnson, Eric J.. Exposing omitted moderators: Explaining why effect sizes differ in the social sciences[J],2024,121(12). |
APA | Krefeld-Schwalb, Antonia,Sugerman, Eli Rosen,&Johnson, Eric J..(2024).Exposing omitted moderators: Explaining why effect sizes differ in the social sciences.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,121(12). |
MLA | Krefeld-Schwalb, Antonia,et al."Exposing omitted moderators: Explaining why effect sizes differ in the social sciences".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 121.12(2024). |
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