气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The consequences of non-participation in the Paris Agreement

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104699
	The consequences of non-participation in the Paris Agreement
	Larch, Mario; Wanner, Joschka
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0014-2921
EISSN	1873-572X
起始页码	163
卷号	163
英文摘要	International cooperation is at the core of multilateral climate policy. How is its effectiveness harmed by individual countries not participating in the global mitigation effort? We use a multisector structural trade model with carbon emissions from production and a constant elasticity of fossil fuel supply function to simulate the consequences of unilateral non -participation in the Paris Agreement. Taking into account both direct and leakage effects, we find that nonparticipation of the US would eliminate more than a third of the world emissions reduction (31.8% direct effect and 6.4% leakage effect), while a potential non -participation of China lowers the world emission reduction by 24.1% (11.9% direct effect and 12.2% leakage effect). The substantial leakage is primarily driven by technique effects induced by falling international fossil fuel prices. In terms of welfare, the overwhelming majority of countries gain from the implementation of the Paris Agreement and most countries have only very little to gain from unilaterally deciding not to participate.
英文关键词	Climate change International trade Carbon leakage Fossil fuel supply
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics
WOS类目	Economics
WOS记录号	WOS:001201964300001
来源期刊	EUROPEAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/292509
作者单位	University of Bayreuth; Ifo Institut; Institut fur Weltwirtschaft an der Universitat Kiel (IFW)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Larch, Mario,Wanner, Joschka. The consequences of non-participation in the Paris Agreement[J],2024,163.
APA	Larch, Mario,&Wanner, Joschka.(2024).The consequences of non-participation in the Paris Agreement.EUROPEAN ECONOMIC REVIEW,163.
MLA	Larch, Mario,et al."The consequences of non-participation in the Paris Agreement".EUROPEAN ECONOMIC REVIEW 163(2024).