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DOI10.1016/j.isci.2024.109079
Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation
发表日期2024
EISSN2589-0042
起始页码27
结束页码3
卷号27期号:3
英文摘要China as a major coal -consuming economy faces the challenge of balancing economic development and carbon neutrality goal. This paper incorporates both efficiency -based and equity -based carbon neutrality policies into a numerical model to quantitatively assess how coal reduction under various carbon -neutral policies affects energy mix, economic growth, and industrial structures by 2060. Results show the nationwide coal intensity will ultimately plunge by over 95% from 2017 to 2060, mainly attributed to the coalphasing -out in most industries. National Gross Domestic Product losses reaches 4,951 billion USD in efficiency -based scenarios by 2060, and the economic losses are even more severe in less developed provinces, especially provinces in Northern China. Although the equity -based policy can reduce the economic burden for the Northern China, the equity -based policy is accompanied by a significant regional shift in coal across the country: eastern coal -intense industries will be relocated northward, leading to increases in embodied coal consumption.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001182601900001
来源期刊ISCIENCE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/291938
作者单位Peking University; City University of Hong Kong; Beihang University; Beihang University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
. Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation[J],2024,27(3).
APA (2024).Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation.ISCIENCE,27(3).
MLA "Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation".ISCIENCE 27.3(2024).
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