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DOI | 10.1016/j.isci.2024.109079 |
Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
EISSN | 2589-0042 |
起始页码 | 27 |
结束页码 | 3 |
卷号 | 27期号:3 |
英文摘要 | China as a major coal -consuming economy faces the challenge of balancing economic development and carbon neutrality goal. This paper incorporates both efficiency -based and equity -based carbon neutrality policies into a numerical model to quantitatively assess how coal reduction under various carbon -neutral policies affects energy mix, economic growth, and industrial structures by 2060. Results show the nationwide coal intensity will ultimately plunge by over 95% from 2017 to 2060, mainly attributed to the coalphasing -out in most industries. National Gross Domestic Product losses reaches 4,951 billion USD in efficiency -based scenarios by 2060, and the economic losses are even more severe in less developed provinces, especially provinces in Northern China. Although the equity -based policy can reduce the economic burden for the Northern China, the equity -based policy is accompanied by a significant regional shift in coal across the country: eastern coal -intense industries will be relocated northward, leading to increases in embodied coal consumption. |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001182601900001 |
来源期刊 | ISCIENCE
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/291938 |
作者单位 | Peking University; City University of Hong Kong; Beihang University; Beihang University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation[J],2024,27(3). |
APA | (2024).Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation.ISCIENCE,27(3). |
MLA | "Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation".ISCIENCE 27.3(2024). |
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