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DOI10.1038/s41598-024-52278-y
An investigation of the effects of meteorological factors on the incidence of tuberculosis
发表日期2024
ISSN2045-2322
起始页码14
结束页码1
卷号14期号:1
英文摘要To explore the influence of meteorological factors on the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) in Yingjisha County, Kashgar Region, Xinjiang, and to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of TB. The Spearman correlation analysis and distribution lag nonlinear model analysis were conducted on the number of daily reported cases of TB from 2016 to 2023 to study the association effect of various meteorological factors and the daily incidence number of TB in Yingjisha County. A total of 13,288 TB cases were reported from January 2016 to June 2023, and June to October is the peak period of annual TB incidence. Spearman correlation analysis revealed that average daily temperature (AT) and average daily wind speed (WS) were positively correlated with TB incidence (rAT = 0.110, rWS = 0.090); and average daily relative humidity (RH) and TB incidence was negatively correlated (rRH = - 0.093). When AT was - 15 degrees C, the RR reached a maximum of 2.20 (95% CI: 0.77-6.29) at a lag of 21 days. When RH was 92%, the RR reached a maximum of 1.05 (95% CI: 0.92-1.19) at a lag of 6 days. When WS was 5.2 m/s, the RR reached a maximum of 1.30 (95% CI: 0.78-2.16) at a lag of 16 days. There is a non-linearity and a certain lag between meteorological factors and the occurrence and prevalence of TB in the population, which is mainly manifested in the fact that the risk of incidence of TB decreases with the increase of the daily AT, has a hazardous effect within a certain range of humidity as the average daily RH rises, and gradually increases with the increase of the average daily WS. Local residents are advised to pay attention to climate change so as to take appropriate preventive measures, especially women and middle and old age group should pay close attention to climate change and add more clothes in time, minimise travelling in hazy weather and windy and sandy weather, maintain good nutrition, adequate sleep and moderate exercise in daily life to enhance their immunity, wash hands frequently and ventilate the air, and try to avoid staying in humid and confined spaces in order to reduce the risk of latent TB patients developing the disease.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001150811100075
来源期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/291476
作者单位Xinjiang Medical University; Chinese Center for Disease Control & Prevention; Xinjiang Medical University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
. An investigation of the effects of meteorological factors on the incidence of tuberculosis[J],2024,14(1).
APA (2024).An investigation of the effects of meteorological factors on the incidence of tuberculosis.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,14(1).
MLA "An investigation of the effects of meteorological factors on the incidence of tuberculosis".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 14.1(2024).
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