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DOI10.1029/2023GL106283
Detection and Attribution of Human-Perceived Warming Over China
发表日期2024
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
起始页码51
结束页码7
卷号51期号:7
英文摘要While previous studies have largely focused on anthropogenic warming characterized by surface air temperature, little is known about the behaviors of human-perceived temperature (HPT), which describe the feels-like equivalent temperature by considering the joint effects of temperature, humidity and/or wind speed. Here we adopted an optimal ?ngerprinting method to compare seasonal mean HPTs in China with those from simulations conducted with multiple climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. We found clear anthropogenic signals in the observational records of changes in both summer and winter HPTs over the period 1971-2020. Moreover, the anthropogenic greenhouse gas influence was robustly detected, with clear separation from natural and anthropogenic aerosol forcings. The anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing plays the dominant role (>90%) of human-perceived warming. Urbanization effects contribute slightly and moderately to the estimated trends in summer and winter HPTs, respectively, in addition to the effects of external forcing. Plain Language Summary Human influences have been identified in the observed warming quantified by surface air temperature (SAT), but SAT alone is inadequate as a metric for human thermal comfort. Here we focus on human-perceived temperature (HPT), which describes the feels-like equivalent temperature by considering the joint effects of temperature, humidity, and/or wind speed. We isolate anthropogenic impacts on the observed increase in summer and winter HPTs in China during 1971-2020 by comparing observations with state-of-the-art climate models. Results show that the influence of anthropogenic greenhouse gas is detected, with clear separation from other external forcings such as solar and volcanic activities and anthropogenic aerosols. The human-induced greenhouse gas increases are also found to explain most (>90%) of the observed human-perceived warming. Along with the effects of large-scale anthropogenic forcing, urbanization effects also have a slight to moderate influence on the estimated trends in summer and winter HPTs. Our work is an early attempt to provide quantitative evidence for the physiological impacts of anthropogenic global warming and local urbanization on human beings.
英文关键词human-perceived temperature; thermal comfort; climate change; human influence; greenhouse gases; CMIP6
语种英语
WOS研究方向Geology
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS记录号WOS:001194207900001
来源期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/290818
作者单位China Meteorological Administration; Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CAMS); China Meteorological Administration; Fudan University; China University of Geosciences
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
. Detection and Attribution of Human-Perceived Warming Over China[J],2024,51(7).
APA (2024).Detection and Attribution of Human-Perceived Warming Over China.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,51(7).
MLA "Detection and Attribution of Human-Perceived Warming Over China".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 51.7(2024).
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