气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Paving Paths to 2050: Mapping the Mexican Power Sector's Potential to Build Sustainable Futures

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DOI	10.3390/su16010068
	Paving Paths to 2050: Mapping the Mexican Power Sector's Potential to Build Sustainable Futures
	Martinez, Manuel; Castro, Juan Carlos; Leal-Fulgencio, Carlos David; Alvarez-Herrero, Santiago; Cedano-Villavicencio, Karla Graciela
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2071-1050
起始页码	16
结束页码	1
卷号	16 期号:1
英文摘要	A prospective analysis of the Mexican power system has been carried out, and the possibilities for complying with the National Determined Contribution (NDC) commitments adopted in the Paris Agreement in the National Climate Change Strategy of the General Law for Climate Change are presented. A hybrid approach was used, inspired by Foresight Frameworks on one side, and using an accounting and scenario-based modeling platform called Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) with economic optimization on the other, to analyze four possible scenarios to 2050: Trend, also known as Business As Usual (BAU), which only looks at the growth rate of the gross domestic product (GDP) and population, along with the country's proven potential for renewable resources under the policy framework before 2015; Market, which considers the trend of installation of renewable technologies and the policies of the past administration; Sovereignty, which does the same as the previous scenario but for the policies of the current Mexican government; and Sustainable, which together with GDP and population growth takes into account the possible potential of national renewable resources and characteristics that the country should have to foster this. The research question was: Is there a long-term energy policy for the Mexican power sector to accomplish its NDCs? The study concluded that the best scenario is Sustainable, showing that the possible potential of the country's renewable resources has the capacity to meet the Mexican commitments adopted in the Paris Agreement if, on one side, techno-economic renewable technologies and electricity storage systems are used, and on the other, if the country's strategic areas evolve into a more holistically sustainable future.
英文关键词	multidisciplinary prospective study; scenarios analysis; energy mix; CO(2)e emissions; renewable energy
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001141489400001
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/289272
作者单位	Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Martinez, Manuel,Castro, Juan Carlos,Leal-Fulgencio, Carlos David,et al. Paving Paths to 2050: Mapping the Mexican Power Sector's Potential to Build Sustainable Futures[J],2024,16(1).
APA	Martinez, Manuel,Castro, Juan Carlos,Leal-Fulgencio, Carlos David,Alvarez-Herrero, Santiago,&Cedano-Villavicencio, Karla Graciela.(2024).Paving Paths to 2050: Mapping the Mexican Power Sector's Potential to Build Sustainable Futures.SUSTAINABILITY,16(1).
MLA	Martinez, Manuel,et al."Paving Paths to 2050: Mapping the Mexican Power Sector's Potential to Build Sustainable Futures".SUSTAINABILITY 16.1(2024).