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DOI10.1007/s11802-024-5603-3
Trend of Storm Surge Induced by Typical Landfall Super Typhoons During 1975-2021 in the Eastern China Sea
发表日期2024
ISSN1672-5182
EISSN1993-5021
起始页码23
结束页码2
卷号23期号:2
英文摘要Climate change affects the activity of global and regional tropical cyclones (TCs). Among all TCs, typical super typhoons (STYs) are particularly devastating because they maintain their intensity when landing on the coast and thus cause casualties, economic losses, and environmental damage. Using a 3D tidal model, we reconstructed the typhoon (TY) wind field to simulate the storm surge induced by typical STYs. The TY activity was then analyzed using historical data. Results showed a downtrend of varying degrees in the annual frequency of STYs and TCs in the Western North Pacific (WNP) Basin, with a significant trend change observed for TCs from 1949 to 2021. A large difference in the interannual change in frequency was found between STYs and TCs in the WNP and Eastern China Sea (ECS). Along the coast of EC, the frequency of landfall TCs showed a weak downtrend, and the typical STYs showed reverse micro growth with peak activity in August. Zhejiang, Fujian, and Taiwan were highly vulnerable to the frontal hits of typical STYs. Affected by climate change, the average lifetime maximum intensity (LMI) locations and landfall locations of typical STYs in the ECS basin showed a significant poleward migration trend. In addition, the annual average LMI and accumulated cyclone energy showed an uptrend, indicating the increasing severity of the disaster risk. Affected by the typical STY activity in the ECS, the maximum storm surge area also showed poleward migration, and the coast of North China faced potential growth in high storm surge risks.
英文关键词storm surge; super typhoons; tropical cyclones; eastern China Sea; poleward migration
语种英语
WOS研究方向Oceanography
WOS类目Oceanography
WOS记录号WOS:001195787500001
来源期刊JOURNAL OF OCEAN UNIVERSITY OF CHINA
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/289173
作者单位Hohai University; Hohai University; Hohai University; National University of Defense Technology - China
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GB/T 7714
. Trend of Storm Surge Induced by Typical Landfall Super Typhoons During 1975-2021 in the Eastern China Sea[J],2024,23(2).
APA (2024).Trend of Storm Surge Induced by Typical Landfall Super Typhoons During 1975-2021 in the Eastern China Sea.JOURNAL OF OCEAN UNIVERSITY OF CHINA,23(2).
MLA "Trend of Storm Surge Induced by Typical Landfall Super Typhoons During 1975-2021 in the Eastern China Sea".JOURNAL OF OCEAN UNIVERSITY OF CHINA 23.2(2024).
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