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DOI10.1111/1752-1688.13192
Concurrently assessing water supply and demand is critical for evaluating vulnerabilities to climate change
Hall, Sonia A.; Whittemore, Aaron; Padowski, Julie; Yourek, Matthew; Yorgey, Georgine G.; Rajagopalan, Kirti; Mclarty, Sasha; Scarpare, Fabio V.; Liu, Mingliang; Asante-Sasu, Collins; Kondal, Ashish; Brady, Michael; Gustine, Rebecca; Downes, Melissa; Callahan, Michael; Adam, Jennifer C.
发表日期2024
ISSN1093-474X
EISSN1752-1688
起始页码60
结束页码2
卷号60期号:2
英文摘要Aligning water supply with demand is a challenge, particularly in areas with large seasonal variation in precipitation and those dominated by winter precipitation. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this challenge, increasing the need for long-term planning. Long-term projections of water supply and demand that can aid planning are mostly published as agency reports, which are directly relevant to decision-making but less likely to inform future research. We present 20-year water supply and demand projections for the Columbia River, produced in partnership with the Washington State Dept. of Ecology. This effort includes integrated modeling of future surface water supply and agricultural demand by 2040 and analyses of future groundwater trends, residential demand, instream flow deficits, and curtailment. We found that shifting timing in water supply could leave many eastern Washington watersheds unable to meet late-season out-of-stream demands. Increasing agricultural or residential demands in watersheds could exacerbate these late-season vulnerabilities, and curtailments could become more common for rivers with federal or state instream flow rules. Groundwater trends are mostly declining, leaving watersheds more vulnerable to surface water supply or demand changes. Both our modeling framework and agency partnership can serve as an example for other long-term efforts that aim to provide insights for water management in a changing climate elsewhere around the world.
英文关键词irrigation < agriculture; climate variability/change < climate; water resources management; water supply < water resources management; water use < water resources management; watershed management < water resources management; sustainability < water resources management; planning < water resources management
语种英语
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
WOS类目Engineering, Environmental ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS记录号WOS:001163037800001
来源期刊JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/289103
作者单位Washington State University; Washington State University; Washington State University; Washington State University; Washington State University
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Hall, Sonia A.,Whittemore, Aaron,Padowski, Julie,et al. Concurrently assessing water supply and demand is critical for evaluating vulnerabilities to climate change[J],2024,60(2).
APA Hall, Sonia A..,Whittemore, Aaron.,Padowski, Julie.,Yourek, Matthew.,Yorgey, Georgine G..,...&Adam, Jennifer C..(2024).Concurrently assessing water supply and demand is critical for evaluating vulnerabilities to climate change.JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION,60(2).
MLA Hall, Sonia A.,et al."Concurrently assessing water supply and demand is critical for evaluating vulnerabilities to climate change".JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION 60.2(2024).
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