气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate velocities and species tracking in global mountain regions

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DOI	10.1038/s41586-024-07264-9
	Climate velocities and species tracking in global mountain regions
	Chan, Wei-Ping; Lenoir, Jonathan; Mai, Guan-Shuo; Kuo, Hung-Chi; Chen, I-Ching; Shen, Sheng-Feng
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0028-0836
EISSN	1476-4687
英文摘要	Mountain ranges contain high concentrations of endemic species and are indispensable refugia for lowland species that are facing anthropogenic climate change 1,2 . Forecasting biodiversity redistribution hinges on assessing whether species can track shifting isotherms as the climate warms 3,4 . However, a global analysis of the velocities of isotherm shifts along elevation gradients is hindered by the scarcity of weather stations in mountainous regions 5 . Here we address this issue by mapping the lapse rate of temperature (LRT) across mountain regions globally, both by using satellite data (SLRT) and by using the laws of thermodynamics to account for water vapour 6 (that is, the moist adiabatic lapse rate (MALRT)). By dividing the rate of surface warming from 1971 to 2020 by either the SLRT or the MALRT, we provide maps of vertical isotherm shift velocities. We identify 17 mountain regions with exceptionally high vertical isotherm shift velocities (greater than 11.67 m per year for the SLRT; greater than 8.25 m per year for the MALRT), predominantly in dry areas but also in wet regions with shallow lapse rates; for example, northern Sumatra, the Brazilian highlands and southern Africa. By linking these velocities to the velocities of species range shifts, we report instances of close tracking in mountains with lower climate velocities. However, many species lag behind, suggesting that range shift dynamics would persist even if we managed to curb climate-change trajectories. Our findings are key for devising global conservation strategies, particularly in the 17 high-velocity mountain regions that we have identified. An analysis of the rate at which isotherms are shifting in mountain regions worldwide identifies 17 key regions with particularly high vertical isotherm shift velocities, and provides insight into how these shifts affect species ranges.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001194958800008
来源期刊	NATURE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/289095
作者单位	Academia Sinica - Taiwan; Harvard University; Taipei Medical University; Harvard University; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Universite de Picardie Jules Verne (UPJV); National Taiwan University; National Cheng Kung University; Stanford University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chan, Wei-Ping,Lenoir, Jonathan,Mai, Guan-Shuo,et al. Climate velocities and species tracking in global mountain regions[J],2024.
APA	Chan, Wei-Ping,Lenoir, Jonathan,Mai, Guan-Shuo,Kuo, Hung-Chi,Chen, I-Ching,&Shen, Sheng-Feng.(2024).Climate velocities and species tracking in global mountain regions.NATURE.
MLA	Chan, Wei-Ping,et al."Climate velocities and species tracking in global mountain regions".NATURE (2024).