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DOI10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101706
Flooding in the Yellow River Basin, China: Spatiotemporal patterns, drivers and future tendency
Sun, Yixin; Zhang, Qiang; Singh, Vijay P.
发表日期2024
EISSN2214-5818
起始页码52
卷号52
英文摘要Study region: The Yellow River Basin (YRB) in China. Study focus: This study is devoted to simulating flood changes with return periods of 10, 20, 30, 50, 100 and 200 years under three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) using CaMaFlood models, and examining the drivers. New hydrological insights for the region: In the historical period (1961-2005), the middle and lower YRB and specifically the Wei River Basin (WRB) (a tributary of the middle YRB) are dominated by higher flood risks with once-in-200-year flood magnitude of 9989.63 m3/s. Under climate change scenarios, the relative change in the once-in-100-year flood magnitude increased from 125.0% (RCP2.6) to 204.9% (RCP8.5) during the historical period (1961-2005) to the long-term period (2076-2092). The historical flood-prone regions were more susceptible to increased flood magnitude. Meanwhile, the area with increased flood risks ranged from 73.6% to 95.2% in the YRB. Increased flood magnitude was typically related to lengthened return interval of floods under the RCP2.6 and RCP6.0 scenarios, while decreased flood magnitude was commonly linked to increased return intervals under the RCP8.5 scenarios. Notably, we observed higher correlations between 7-day maximum precipitation and floods compared to those between daily maximum precipitation, soil moisture, and floods. Co-occurrences between flood events and hydrometeorological extremes were higher in the upper and middle YRB.
英文关键词Floods; Climatic scenarios; Flood magnitude; Return periods; Flood risks
语种英语
WOS研究方向Water Resources
WOS类目Water Resources
WOS记录号WOS:001188386000001
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/288805
作者单位Beijing Normal University; Beijing Normal University; Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; Texas A&M University System; Texas A&M University College Station; United Arab Emirates University
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GB/T 7714
Sun, Yixin,Zhang, Qiang,Singh, Vijay P.. Flooding in the Yellow River Basin, China: Spatiotemporal patterns, drivers and future tendency[J],2024,52.
APA Sun, Yixin,Zhang, Qiang,&Singh, Vijay P..(2024).Flooding in the Yellow River Basin, China: Spatiotemporal patterns, drivers and future tendency.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,52.
MLA Sun, Yixin,et al."Flooding in the Yellow River Basin, China: Spatiotemporal patterns, drivers and future tendency".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES 52(2024).
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