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| DOI | 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120685 |
| Operationalizing a fisheries social-ecological system through a Bayesian belief network reveals hotspots for its adaptive capacity in the southern North sea | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 0301-4797 |
| EISSN | 1095-8630 |
| 起始页码 | 357 |
| 卷号 | 357 |
| 英文摘要 | Fisheries social-ecological systems (SES) in the North Sea region confront multifaceted challenges stemming from environmental changes, offshore wind farm expansion, and marine protected area establishment. In this paper, we demonstrate the utility of a Bayesian Belief Network (BN) approach in comprehensively capturing and assessing the intricate spatial dynamics within the German plaice-related fisheries SES. The BN integrates ecological, economic, and socio-cultural factors to generate high-resolution maps of profitability and adaptive capacity potential (ACP) as prospective management targets. Our analysis of future scenarios, delineating changes in spatial constraints, economics, and socio-cultural aspects, identifies factors that will exert significant influence on this fisheries SES in the near future. These include the loss of fishing grounds due to the installation of offshore wind farms and marine protected areas, as well as reduced plaice landings due to climate change. The identified ACP hotspots hold the potential to guide the development of localized management strategies and sustainable planning efforts by highlighting the consequences of management decisions. Our findings emphasize the need to consider detailed spatial dynamics of fisheries SES within marine spatial planning (MSP) and illustrate how this information may assist decision-makers and practitioners in area prioritization. We, therefore, propose adopting the concept of fisheries SES within broader integrated management approaches to foster sustainable development of inherently dynamic SES in a rapidly evolving marine environment. |
| 英文关键词 | Adaptive capacity (potential); Bayesian belief network; Fisheries management; Marine spatial planning; Social-ecological system (SES); Offshore renewables |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001220440400001 |
| 来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
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| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/288681 |
| 作者单位 | Johann Heinrich von Thunen Institute; Helmholtz Association; Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon; University of Hamburg |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Operationalizing a fisheries social-ecological system through a Bayesian belief network reveals hotspots for its adaptive capacity in the southern North sea[J],2024,357. |
| APA | (2024).Operationalizing a fisheries social-ecological system through a Bayesian belief network reveals hotspots for its adaptive capacity in the southern North sea.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,357. |
| MLA | "Operationalizing a fisheries social-ecological system through a Bayesian belief network reveals hotspots for its adaptive capacity in the southern North sea".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 357(2024). |
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