气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Projection of Non-Industrial Electricity Consumption in China's Pearl River Delta under Global Warming Scenarios

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DOI	10.3390/su16052012
	Projection of Non-Industrial Electricity Consumption in China's Pearl River Delta under Global Warming Scenarios
	Li, Tiaoye; Tao, Lingjiang; Zhang, Mi
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2071-1050
起始页码	16
结束页码	5
卷号	16 期号:5
英文摘要	Global warming is a global issue closely linked to sustainability, and power systems around the world are facing immense pressure due to global warming. The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of global warming on non-industrial electricity consumption in China's Pearl River Delta. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is employed to dynamically downscale and simulate summer climate change characteristics during historical periods and future warming scenarios of 1.5/2 degrees C. Then, in order to dynamically investigate the changes in non-industrial electricity consumption in cities after warming, we developed a non-industrial electricity consumption estimation model based on degree days and GDP. The regression model can well reproduce non-industrial electricity consumption in summer. Under future warming scenarios of 1.5/2 degrees C, the results indicate an annual growth trend in non-industrial electricity consumption due to global warming. Under a 1.5 degrees C warming scenario, non-industrial electricity consumption in both Guangzhou and Zhuhai increases, with Guangzhou experiencing a larger increase of about 10 terawatt-hours (TWh) compared to the historical period. However, under a 2 degrees C warming scenario, non-industrial electricity consumption in both cities slightly decreases compared to the 1.5 degrees C warming scenario, with a maximum decrease of 874 million kilowatt-hours.
英文关键词	Pearl River Delta; climate change; dynamic downscaling; electricity consumption projection
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:001182994000001
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/288386
作者单位	Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology; Nanjing University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Tiaoye,Tao, Lingjiang,Zhang, Mi. Projection of Non-Industrial Electricity Consumption in China's Pearl River Delta under Global Warming Scenarios[J],2024,16(5).
APA	Li, Tiaoye,Tao, Lingjiang,&Zhang, Mi.(2024).Projection of Non-Industrial Electricity Consumption in China's Pearl River Delta under Global Warming Scenarios.SUSTAINABILITY,16(5).
MLA	Li, Tiaoye,et al."Projection of Non-Industrial Electricity Consumption in China's Pearl River Delta under Global Warming Scenarios".SUSTAINABILITY 16.5(2024).