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| DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2312569121 |
| Effects of climate, land use, and human population change on human-elephant conflict risk in Africa and Asia | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 0027-8424 |
| EISSN | 1091-6490 |
| 起始页码 | 121 |
| 结束页码 | 6 |
| 卷号 | 121期号:6 |
| 英文摘要 | Human-wildlife conflict is an important factor in the modern biodiversity crisis and has negative effects on both humans and wildlife (such as property destruction, injury, or death) that can impede conservation efforts for threatened species. Effectively addressing conflict requires an understanding of where it is likely to occur, particularly as climate change shifts wildlife ranges and human activities globally. Here, we examine how projected shifts in cropland density, human population density, and climatic suitability-three key drivers of human-elephant conflict-will shift conflict pressures for endangered Asian and African elephants to inform conflict management in a changing climate. We find that conflict risk (cropland density and/or human population density moving into the 90th percentile based on current - day values) increases in 2050, with a larger increase under the high- emissions regional rivalry SSP3 - RCP 7.0 scenario than the low- emissions sustainability SSP1 - RCP 2.6 scenario. We also find a net decrease in climatic suitability for both species along their extended range boundaries, with decreasing suitability most often overlapping increasing conflict risk when both suitability and conflict risk are changing. Our findings suggest that as climate changes, the risk of conflict with Asian and African elephants may shift and increase and managers should proactively mitigate that conflict to preserve these charismatic animals. |
| 英文关键词 | human-wildlife conflict; climate change; land use change; biodiversity; species distribution modeling |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001169138400006 |
| 来源期刊 | PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
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| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/288385 |
| 作者单位 | University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara; Conservation International; University of Namibia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Effects of climate, land use, and human population change on human-elephant conflict risk in Africa and Asia[J],2024,121(6). |
| APA | (2024).Effects of climate, land use, and human population change on human-elephant conflict risk in Africa and Asia.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,121(6). |
| MLA | "Effects of climate, land use, and human population change on human-elephant conflict risk in Africa and Asia".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 121.6(2024). |
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