Climate Change Data Portal
| DOI | 10.1038/s43247-024-01288-9 |
| A unified modelling framework for projecting sectoral greenhouse gas emissions | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| EISSN | 2662-4435 |
| 起始页码 | 5 |
| 结束页码 | 1 |
| 卷号 | 5期号:1 |
| 英文摘要 | Effectively tackling climate change requires sound knowledge about greenhouse gas emissions and their sources. Currently, there is a lack of comprehensive, sectorally disaggregated, yet comparable projections for greenhouse gas emissions. Here, we project sectoral emissions until 2050 under a business-as-usual scenario for a global sample of countries and five main sectors, using a unified framework and Bayesian methods. We show that, without concerted policy efforts, global emissions increase strongly, and highlight a number of important differences across countries and sectors. Increases in emerging economies are driven by strong output and population growth, with emissions related to the energy sector accounting for most of the projected change. Advanced economies are expected to reduce emissions over the coming decades, although transport emissions often still show upward trends. We compare our results to emission projections published by selected national authorities as well as results from Integrated Assessment Models and highlight some important discrepancies. The energy and transportation sectors of emerging and advanced economies are responsible for much of the projected increases in greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 in the absence of policy action, according to a statistical approach that combines economic output, demographic change, and emission intensities. |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001187842500002 |
| 来源期刊 | COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/287684 |
| 作者单位 | Vienna University of Economics & Business; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . A unified modelling framework for projecting sectoral greenhouse gas emissions[J],2024,5(1). |
| APA | (2024).A unified modelling framework for projecting sectoral greenhouse gas emissions.COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT,5(1). |
| MLA | "A unified modelling framework for projecting sectoral greenhouse gas emissions".COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT 5.1(2024). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
| 个性服务 |
| 推荐该条目 |
| 保存到收藏夹 |
| 导出为Endnote文件 |
| 谷歌学术 |
| 谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
| 百度学术 |
| 百度学术中相似的文章 |
| 必应学术 |
| 必应学术中相似的文章 |
| 相关权益政策 |
| 暂无数据 |
| 收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
