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| DOI | 10.1111/asap.12392 |
| Teaching simple heuristics can reduce the exponential growth bias in judging historic CO2 emission growth | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 1529-7489 |
| EISSN | 1530-2415 |
| 英文摘要 | Across the last 150 years, global CO2 emissions have grown at an increasing, exponential pace. Based on the well-documented tendency to underestimate such exponential growth, we hypothesize and test in three studies (total N = 1796, including one nationally representative US sample) that people would fail to understand the historical, exponential growth of global CO2 emissions. However, we also show that providing a simple rule of thumb can serve as an effective educational boost that helps overcome this biased perception. Participants who were provided with the heuristic that historically, global CO2 emissions have doubled every thirty years provided highly accurate estimates of past emission levels. Compared to participants who relied on intuition, those who applied this doubling heuristic avoided common errors in understanding the current state of the climate change threat and made more realistic expectations of the future consequences of uninterrupted growth. Together, these studies show that overcoming the exponential growth bias helps people form more accurate perceptions of historic CO2 emissions growth and understand the difficulty of curbing future emissions. |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Social Issues ; Psychology |
| WOS类目 | Social Issues ; Psychology, Social |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001177703400001 |
| 来源期刊 | ANALYSES OF SOCIAL ISSUES AND PUBLIC POLICY
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/287411 |
| 作者单位 | University of Cologne; Universitat Greifswald; University of Cologne |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Teaching simple heuristics can reduce the exponential growth bias in judging historic CO2 emission growth[J],2024. |
| APA | (2024).Teaching simple heuristics can reduce the exponential growth bias in judging historic CO2 emission growth.ANALYSES OF SOCIAL ISSUES AND PUBLIC POLICY. |
| MLA | "Teaching simple heuristics can reduce the exponential growth bias in judging historic CO2 emission growth".ANALYSES OF SOCIAL ISSUES AND PUBLIC POLICY (2024). |
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