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| DOI | 10.1002/ps.7943 |
| Anopheles mosquitoes in Morocco: implication for public health and underlined challenges for malaria re-establishment prevention under current and future climate conditions | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 1526-498X |
| EISSN | 1526-4998 |
| 起始页码 | 80 |
| 结束页码 | 4 |
| 卷号 | 80期号:4 |
| 英文摘要 | BACKGROUND: The potential reappearance and/or expansion of vector-borne diseases is one of the terrifying issues awaiting humanity in the context of climate change. The presence of competent Anopheles vectors, as well as suitable environmental circumstances, may result in the re-emergence of autochthonous Malaria, after years of absence. In Morocco, international travel and migration movements from Malaria-endemic areas have recently increased the number of imported cases, raising awareness of Malaria's possible reintroduction. Using machine learning we developed model predictions, under current and future (2050) climate, for the prospective distribution of Anopheles claviger, Anopheles labranchiae, Anopheles multicolor, and Anopheles sergentii implicated or incriminated in Malaria transmission.RESULTS: All modelled species are expected to find suitable habitats and have the potential to become established in the northern and central parts of the country, under present-day conditions. Distinct changes in the distributions of the four mosquitoes are to be expected under climate change. Even under the most optimistic scenario, all investigated species are likely to acquire new habitats that are now unsuitable, placing further populations in danger. We also observed a northward and altitudinal shift in their distribution towards higher altitudes.CONCLUSION: Climate change is expected to expand the potential range of malaria vectors in Morocco. Our maps and predictions offer a way to intelligently focus efforts on surveillance and control programmes. To reduce the threat of human infection, it is crucial for public health authorities, entomological surveillance teams, and control initiatives to collaborate and intensify their actions, continuously monitoring areas at risk. (c) 2023 Society of Chemical Industry.(c) 2023 Society of Chemical Industry. |
| 英文关键词 | Anopheles mosquitoes; malaria reintroduction; imported cases; climate changes; predictions; machine learning |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Agriculture ; Entomology |
| WOS类目 | Agronomy ; Entomology |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001141745700001 |
| 来源期刊 | PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/287241 |
| 作者单位 | Cadi Ayyad University of Marrakech; Mohammed VI University Hospital Center of Marrakech; Mohammed First University of Oujda; Mohammed VI University Hospital Center of Oujda |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Anopheles mosquitoes in Morocco: implication for public health and underlined challenges for malaria re-establishment prevention under current and future climate conditions[J],2024,80(4). |
| APA | (2024).Anopheles mosquitoes in Morocco: implication for public health and underlined challenges for malaria re-establishment prevention under current and future climate conditions.PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE,80(4). |
| MLA | "Anopheles mosquitoes in Morocco: implication for public health and underlined challenges for malaria re-establishment prevention under current and future climate conditions".PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE 80.4(2024). |
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