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| DOI | 10.1007/s10530-024-03298-2 |
| Potential current and future distribution for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus in Colombia: important disease vectors | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 1387-3547 |
| EISSN | 1573-1464 |
| 英文摘要 | Invasive mosquitoes, Aedes aegypti (African) and Aedes albopictus (Asian), serve as global vectors for diseases such as dengue, Zika, and chikungunya, and they are currently present in Colombia. Consequently, the aim of this study was to assess the potential geographic distribution of these A. aegypti and A. albopictus vectors under both present and future environmental conditions in Colombia. To achieve this, a dataset was compiled using global records for each species, with those from Colombia being used for model validation. These records, in conjunction with layers of bioclimatic variables, were incorporated into ecological niche models. Predictions of potential distribution were made with the Maxent algorithm, using the Wallace EcoMod application for current conditions and the Java MaxEnt software for future projections, which represented three climate change scenarios (SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585) for two time periods (2041-2060 and 2081-2100). Additionally, niche overlap was calculated, and the suitable habitat range and population at risk in Colombia were quantified for current predictions. It is suggested that both species share ideal areas in the country with an overlap of 0.85, covering over 70% of the country's territory and reaching altitudes higher than 2,500 m, potentially affecting at least 45% of the population. In the future for both species it is estimated that, with increasing temperatures, the potential distribution could decrease, but they could invade areas with altitudes above 3,500 m (colder). It is concluded that, currently, A. aegypti and A. albopictus could have similar geographic distribution in Colombia and that, in the following years, climate change could lead to latitudinal and altitudinal variations in the distribution areas of these vectors. |
| 英文关键词 | Dengue; Chikungunya; Climate change; Niche modeling; Tiger mosquito; Yellow fever mosquito |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001208962600001 |
| 来源期刊 | BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/287083 |
| 作者单位 | Universidad del Quindio; Universidad del Quindio |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Potential current and future distribution for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus in Colombia: important disease vectors[J],2024. |
| APA | (2024).Potential current and future distribution for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus in Colombia: important disease vectors.BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS. |
| MLA | "Potential current and future distribution for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus in Colombia: important disease vectors".BIOLOGICAL INVASIONS (2024). |
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