气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Schrödinger's Range-Shifting Cat: How Skewed Temperature Dependence Impacts Persistence with Climate Change

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DOI	10.1086/728002
	Schrödinger's Range-Shifting Cat: How Skewed Temperature Dependence Impacts Persistence with Climate Change
	Terry, J. Christopher D.; O'Sullivan, Jacob D.; Rossberg, Axel G.
发表日期	2024
ISSN	0003-0147
EISSN	1537-5323
起始页码	203
结束页码	2
卷号	203 期号:2
英文摘要	The majority of species display strongly asymmetric responses to climatic variables, yet most analytic models used to investigate how species will respond to climate change assume symmetric responses, with largely unknown consequences. Applying a known mapping of population dynamical equations onto corresponding well-studied problems from quantum mechanics, we extend analytical results to incorporate this asymmetry. We derive expressions in terms of parameters representing climate velocity, dispersal rate, maximum growth rate, niche width, high-frequency climate variability, and environmental performance curve skew for three key responses: (1) population persistence, (2) lag between range displacement and climate displacement, and (3) location of maximum population sensitivity. We find that asymmetry impacts these climate change responses, but surprisingly, under our model assumptions, the direction (i.e., warm skewed or cool skewed) of performance curve asymmetry does not strongly contribute to either persistence or lags. Conservation measures to support range-shifting populations may have most benefit near their environmental optimum or where the environmental dependence is shallow, irrespective of whether this is the leading or trailing edge. A metapopulation simulation corroborates our results. Our results shed fresh light on how key features of a species' environmental performance curve can impact its response to climate change.
英文关键词	analytic model; climate change; dispersal; environmental performance curve; range shift
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
WOS类目	Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
WOS记录号	WOS:001120702400001
来源期刊	AMERICAN NATURALIST
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/286503
作者单位	University of London; Queen Mary University London; University of Oxford
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Terry, J. Christopher D.,O'Sullivan, Jacob D.,Rossberg, Axel G.. Schrödinger's Range-Shifting Cat: How Skewed Temperature Dependence Impacts Persistence with Climate Change[J],2024,203(2).
APA	Terry, J. Christopher D.,O'Sullivan, Jacob D.,&Rossberg, Axel G..(2024).Schrödinger's Range-Shifting Cat: How Skewed Temperature Dependence Impacts Persistence with Climate Change.AMERICAN NATURALIST,203(2).
MLA	Terry, J. Christopher D.,et al."Schrödinger's Range-Shifting Cat: How Skewed Temperature Dependence Impacts Persistence with Climate Change".AMERICAN NATURALIST 203.2(2024).