气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Modelling Floodplain Vegetation Response to Climate Change, Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Model Simulated LAI, Applying Different GCM's Future Climate Data and MODIS LAI Data

CCPortal

DOI	10.3390/rs16071204
	Modelling Floodplain Vegetation Response to Climate Change, Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Model Simulated LAI, Applying Different GCM's Future Climate Data and MODIS LAI Data
	Muhury, Newton; Apan, Armando; Maraseni, Tek
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2072-4292
起始页码	16
结束页码	7
卷号	16 期号:7
英文摘要	Scientists widely agree that anthropogenically driven climate change significantly impacts vegetation growth, particularly in floodplain areas, by altering river flow and flood regimes. This impact will accelerate in the future, according to climate change projections. For example, in Australia, climate change has been attributed to a decrease in winter precipitation in the range of 56% to 72.9% and an increase in summer from 11% to 27%, according to different climate scenarios. This research attempts to understand vegetation responses to climate change variability at the floodplain level. Further, this study is an effort to enlighten our understanding of temporal climate change impacts under different climate scenarios. To achieve these aims, a semi-distributed hydrological model was applied at a sub-catchment level to simulate the Leaf Area Index (LAI). The model was simulated against future time series of climate data according to Global Climate Model (GCM) projections. The time series data underwent a non-parametric Mann-Kendall test to detect trends and assess the magnitude of change. To quantify the model's performance, calibration and validation were conducted against the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) LAI. The calibration and validation results show Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) values of 0.85 and 0.78, respectively, suggesting the model's performance is very good. The modeling results reveal that the rainfall pattern fluctuates under climate projections within the study site, in which vegetation tends to be more vibrant during the warmer seasons. Moreover, the modeling results highlighted increases in the average projected future winter temperatures, which can help vegetation growth during winter. The results of this study may be employed for sustainable floodplain management, restoration, land-use planning, and policymaking, and help floodplain communities better prepare for and respond to changing flood patterns and related challenges under a future changing climate.
英文关键词	SWAT; LAI; MODIS; climate change; climate model
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
WOS记录号	WOS:001200975400001
来源期刊	REMOTE SENSING
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/286488
作者单位	University of Southern Queensland; University of Southern Queensland; University of the Philippines System; University of the Philippines Diliman
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Muhury, Newton,Apan, Armando,Maraseni, Tek. Modelling Floodplain Vegetation Response to Climate Change, Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Model Simulated LAI, Applying Different GCM's Future Climate Data and MODIS LAI Data[J],2024,16(7).
APA	Muhury, Newton,Apan, Armando,&Maraseni, Tek.(2024).Modelling Floodplain Vegetation Response to Climate Change, Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Model Simulated LAI, Applying Different GCM's Future Climate Data and MODIS LAI Data.REMOTE SENSING,16(7).
MLA	Muhury, Newton,et al."Modelling Floodplain Vegetation Response to Climate Change, Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Model Simulated LAI, Applying Different GCM's Future Climate Data and MODIS LAI Data".REMOTE SENSING 16.7(2024).