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| DOI | 10.1111/cobi.14227 |
| A standard approach for including climate change responses in IUCN Red List assessments | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 0888-8892 |
| EISSN | 1523-1739 |
| 英文摘要 | The International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List is a central tool for extinction risk monitoring and influences global biodiversity policy and action. But, to be effective, it is crucial that it consistently accounts for each driver of extinction. Climate change is rapidly becoming a key extinction driver, but consideration of climate change information remains challenging for the IUCN. Several methods can be used to predict species' future decline, but they often fail to provide estimates of the symptoms of endangerment used by IUCN. We devised a standardized method to measure climate change impact in terms of change in habitat quality to inform criterion A3 on future population reduction. Using terrestrial nonvolant tetrapods as a case study, we measured this impact as the difference between the current and the future species climatic niche, defined based on current and future bioclimatic variables under alternative model algorithms, dispersal scenarios, emission scenarios, and climate models. Our models identified 171 species (13% out of those analyzed) for which their current red-list category could worsen under criterion A3 if they cannot disperse beyond their current range in the future. Categories for 14 species (1.5%) could worsen if maximum dispersal is possible. Although ours is a simulation exercise and not a formal red-list assessment, our results suggest that considering climate change impacts may reduce misclassification and strengthen consistency and comprehensiveness of IUCN Red List assessments. |
| 英文关键词 | climate change; conservation; extinction risk; IUCN; Red List of Threatened Species; species distribution models |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001156108100001 |
| 来源期刊 | CONSERVATION BIOLOGY
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/286214 |
| 作者单位 | Sapienza University Rome; Leipzig University; State University of New York (SUNY) System; State University of New York (SUNY) Stony Brook; University of Sevilla; University of the Philippines System; University of the Philippines Los Banos; CGIAR; World Agroforestry (ICRAF); University of Tasmania; Stellenbosch University; Sapienza University Rome |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . A standard approach for including climate change responses in IUCN Red List assessments[J],2024. |
| APA | (2024).A standard approach for including climate change responses in IUCN Red List assessments.CONSERVATION BIOLOGY. |
| MLA | "A standard approach for including climate change responses in IUCN Red List assessments".CONSERVATION BIOLOGY (2024). |
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