气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis

CCPortal

DOI	10.1177/10704965241251664
	The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis
	Wu, Shengwen; Liu, Xuefeng; Ali, Asma Muhammad; Awan, Abdul Ghafoor
发表日期	2024
ISSN	1070-4965
EISSN	1552-5465
英文摘要	The main objective of this study is to determine the impact of climate change and natural disasters on GDP growth rate. In order to examine long run association between climate change, natural disasters and GDP, an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and correlation matrix were employed, using 20 years data spanning from 2001 to 2021. The focus of the study was to investigate into how CO2 emission causes climate change and climate change, in turn, causes natural disasters and, in turn, natural disasters cause human and crop losses as well as high inflation. The empirical evidence reveals that climate change, CO2 emissions and natural disasters have negative association with GDP because natural disasters in the shape of earthquakes, heavy rains, and floods cause huge human and crop losses, have negative impact on GDP. The variables, agriculture production and employment, have positive and significant association with GDP growth because increase in agriculture production and employment will definitely have significant and positive impact on GDP growth in the long run. The study suggests to build resilient technologies to cope with climate change, control CO2 emissions and inflation as these three variables have negative impact on GDP growth in the long run. This study significantly contributes by highlighting the link between climate change and natural disasters and their consequential negative impact on GDP growth.
英文关键词	natural disasters; climate change; crop destruction; CO2 emission; inflation; GDP
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Development Studies ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public Administration
WOS类目	Development Studies ; Environmental Studies ; Regional & Urban Planning
WOS记录号	WOS:001230861900001
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT & DEVELOPMENT
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/285801
作者单位	Harbin University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wu, Shengwen,Liu, Xuefeng,Ali, Asma Muhammad,et al. The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis[J],2024.
APA	Wu, Shengwen,Liu, Xuefeng,Ali, Asma Muhammad,&Awan, Abdul Ghafoor.(2024).The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT & DEVELOPMENT.
MLA	Wu, Shengwen,et al."The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT & DEVELOPMENT (2024).