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DOI10.1007/s11540-024-09691-7
Contrasting Responses of Spring and Summer Potato to Climate Change in South Korea
发表日期2024
ISSN0014-3065
EISSN1871-4528
英文摘要This paper assessed the effects of climate change and planting date adjustment on spring and summer potato in South Korea for the period 2061-2090. The study applied the SUBSTOR-Potato model and outputs of 24 general circulation models to capture future variability in climate conditions for four shared socioeconomic pathway-representative concentration pathway scenarios. Without planting date adjustment, tuber yield was projected to increase by approximately 20% for spring and summer potato, indicating that the CO2 fertilization effect would offset the adverse effect of rising temperature. The effect of planting date adjustment was significant only for spring potato, where overall climate change impact with the optimized planting date was approximately +60%. For spring potato, the effects of rising temperature were bidirectional: temperature increases early in the year extended the growing season, whereas the higher temperature increases in June under the most severe climate change condition accelerated leaf senescence and reduced tuber bulking rate. Based on these results, different adaptation strategies could be established for spring potato for different climate change conditions. For example, developing frost-tolerant cultivars would continue to be recommended to plant earlier under the mild climate change conditions, whereas breeding mid-late maturity cultivars with high-temperature tolerance would be needed to delay senescence and enhance late tuber growth under the severe climate change conditions. Unlike spring potato, the breeding goal for summer potato of increasing high-temperature tolerance holds across all climate change conditions. Finally, these optimistic results should be interpreted with caution as the current model does not fully capture the effect of high-temperature episodes and the interactive effect between CO2 and temperature, which may reduce beneficial projected climate change impacts.
英文关键词Climate change; Crop model; Spring potato; Summer potato
语种英语
WOS研究方向Agriculture
WOS类目Agronomy
WOS记录号WOS:001142829800001
来源期刊POTATO RESEARCH
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/285687
作者单位Leibniz Zentrum fur Agrarlandschaftsforschung (ZALF); Brandenburg University of Technology Cottbus
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
. Contrasting Responses of Spring and Summer Potato to Climate Change in South Korea[J],2024.
APA (2024).Contrasting Responses of Spring and Summer Potato to Climate Change in South Korea.POTATO RESEARCH.
MLA "Contrasting Responses of Spring and Summer Potato to Climate Change in South Korea".POTATO RESEARCH (2024).
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