气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific partly driven by warming Tibetan Plateau

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DOI	10.1038/s41467-023-44403-8
	Increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific partly driven by warming Tibetan Plateau
	Xu, Jing; Zhao, Ping; Chan, Johnny C. L.; Shi, Mingyuan; Yang, Chi; Zhao, Siyu; Xu, Ying; Chen, Junming; Du, Ling; Wu, Jie; Ye, Jiaxin; Xing, Rui; Wang, Huimei; Liu, Lu
发表日期	2024
EISSN	2041-1723
卷号	15 期号:1
英文摘要	The increase in intense tropical cyclone (TC) activity across the western North Pacific (WNP) has often been attributed to a warming ocean. However, it is essential to recognize that the tropical WNP region already boasts high temperatures, and a marginal increase in oceanic warmth due to global warming does not exert a significant impact on the potential for TCs to intensify. Here we report that the weakened vertical wind shear is the primary driver behind the escalating trend in TC intensity within the summer monsoon trough of the tropical WNP, while local ocean surface and subsurface thermodynamic factors play a minor role. Through observational diagnoses and numerical simulations, we establish that this weakening of the vertical wind shear is very likely due to the increase in temperature of the Tibetan Plateau. With further warming of the Tibetan Plateau under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 scenario, the projected TCs will likely become stronger. The weakened vertical wind shear is the primary driver behind increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific monsoon trough. This weakening is partly driven by warming in the Tibetan Plateau.
英文关键词	INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; WIND SHEAR; CLIMATE; MONSOON; SYSTEM; TRENDS; INDEX; OCEAN; LAND
WOS研究方向	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001142908000013
来源期刊	NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/283757
作者单位	China Meteorological Administration; Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CAMS); Chengdu University of Information Technology; City University of Hong Kong; Beijing Normal University; University of California System; University of California Los Angeles; Ocean University of China; Ocean University of China; Ocean University of China; Gannan Normal University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xu, Jing,Zhao, Ping,Chan, Johnny C. L.,et al. Increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific partly driven by warming Tibetan Plateau[J],2024,15(1).
APA	Xu, Jing.,Zhao, Ping.,Chan, Johnny C. L..,Shi, Mingyuan.,Yang, Chi.,...&Liu, Lu.(2024).Increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific partly driven by warming Tibetan Plateau.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,15(1).
MLA	Xu, Jing,et al."Increasing tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific partly driven by warming Tibetan Plateau".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 15.1(2024).