气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Responses of the Distribution Pattern of the Suitable Habitat of Juniperus tibetica Komarov to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

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DOI	10.3390/f14020434
	Responses of the Distribution Pattern of the Suitable Habitat of Juniperus tibetica Komarov to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
	Zhang, Huayong; Zhao, Bingjian; Huang, Tousheng; Chen, Hao; Yue, Junjie; Tian, Yonglan
发表日期	2023
EISSN	1999-4907
卷号	14 期号:2
英文摘要	Predicting the suitable habitat of plants under climate change has become a trending research topic in recent years. Juniperus tibetica Komarov (Cupressales: Cupressaceae) is a unique and vulnerable species on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) and the highest timberline in the Northern Hemisphere. The prediction of the suitable habitat of J. tibetica will be beneficial for understanding the ecosystem of the QTP. In the present study, variations in the distribution pattern of the suitable habitats (DPSH) of J. tibetica on the QTP were investigated by MaxEnt and GIS spatial analysis based on 288 distribution records and 8 environmental factors. The environmentally abnormal areas and environmental factors determining the DPSH along with climate change were analyzed, and the most suitable climate models were evaluated. The results show that the suitable habitat of J. tibetica will migrate to higher-elevation and -latitude areas in the future. Precipitation was the most important factor affecting current suitable habitats and limiting future ones, followed by temperature. By comparing the integrality of suitable habitat under different climate models, it was suggested that the HadGEM2-ES (RCP2.6) and BCC-CSM1.1 (RCP8.5) climate models were the best for predicting the DPSH of J. tibetica. This study revealed the response of the suitable habitat of J. tibetica relative to climate change at a large scale and provides a theoretical basis for the scientific management and conservation of J. tibetica resources on the QTP.
关键词	suitable habitat climate change MaxEnt prediction distribution pattern vulnerable species Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
英文关键词	POTENTIAL GEOGRAPHIC-DISTRIBUTION; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS; VEGETATION; PREDICTIONS; CUPRESSACEAE; ECOSYSTEM; DYNAMICS; IMPACTS; CHINA; MODEL
WOS研究方向	Forestry
WOS记录号	WOS:000939183300001
来源期刊	FORESTS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282904
作者单位	North China Electric Power University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Huayong,Zhao, Bingjian,Huang, Tousheng,et al. Responses of the Distribution Pattern of the Suitable Habitat of Juniperus tibetica Komarov to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J],2023,14(2).
APA	Zhang, Huayong,Zhao, Bingjian,Huang, Tousheng,Chen, Hao,Yue, Junjie,&Tian, Yonglan.(2023).Responses of the Distribution Pattern of the Suitable Habitat of Juniperus tibetica Komarov to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.FORESTS,14(2).
MLA	Zhang, Huayong,et al."Responses of the Distribution Pattern of the Suitable Habitat of Juniperus tibetica Komarov to Climate Change on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau".FORESTS 14.2(2023).