气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Prediction of Potential Distribution Patterns of Three Larix Species on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under Future Climate Scenarios

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DOI	10.3390/f14051058
	Prediction of Potential Distribution Patterns of Three Larix Species on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under Future Climate Scenarios
	An, Xiu; Huang, Tousheng; Zhang, Huayong; Yue, Junjie; Zhao, Bingjian
发表日期	2023
EISSN	1999-4907
卷号	14 期号:5
英文摘要	How climate change affects the plants on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) has become a hot research topic in recent years. It was widely recognized that Larix. are sensitive to climate change, while the corresponding research of Larix. on the QTP has been rare. Using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model, we predicted the potential distribution patterns of Larix potaninii Batalin, Larix griffithii and Larix speciosa on the QTP in this study under different future climate scenarios. The results demonstrated that the area of suitable habitat for Larix potaninii Batalin (Larix griffithii) presented a loss (gain) trend, while that for Larix speciosa remained unchanged on the whole. The centroids of their suitable habits all migrated to the high-altitude and high-latitude areas, suggesting the three species may take the same survival strategy in response to climate change. Annual Precipitation was the most significant environmental factor influencing the distribution pattern of Larix potaninii Batalin, while Temperature Annual Range was the most significant for Larix griffithii and Larix speciosa. The overlapping potential suitable area for the three Larix species was the maximum under the 2041-2060 SSP126 future climate scenarios and decreased with the increasing emission concentration, suggesting that the niches of these species may step towards separation. This study suggested the survival strategies of the Larix species in response to climate change and the findings may provide a reliable basis for conserving the endangered Larix species under different future climate scenarios.
关键词	potential distribution patterns climate change MaxEnt prediction Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
英文关键词	GEOGRAPHICAL-DISTRIBUTION; RADIAL GROWTH; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION; MAXENT; TEMPERATURE; SICHUAN; IMPACT; MODEL; GIS
WOS研究方向	Forestry
WOS记录号	WOS:000997217000001
来源期刊	FORESTS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282811
作者单位	North China Electric Power University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	An, Xiu,Huang, Tousheng,Zhang, Huayong,et al. Prediction of Potential Distribution Patterns of Three Larix Species on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under Future Climate Scenarios[J],2023,14(5).
APA	An, Xiu,Huang, Tousheng,Zhang, Huayong,Yue, Junjie,&Zhao, Bingjian.(2023).Prediction of Potential Distribution Patterns of Three Larix Species on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under Future Climate Scenarios.FORESTS,14(5).
MLA	An, Xiu,et al."Prediction of Potential Distribution Patterns of Three Larix Species on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under Future Climate Scenarios".FORESTS 14.5(2023).