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DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165745
Trends in air pollutants emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas under different socioeconomic scenarios
Jiang, Ke; Xing, Ran; Luo, Zhihan; Li, Jin; Men, Yatai; Shen, Huizhong; Shen, Guofeng; Tao, Shu
发表日期2023
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
卷号899
英文摘要The Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) and its surrounding areas are undergoing rapid changes in socioeconomic conditions, activity sectors, and emission levels. These changes underscore the significance of conducting local environmental assessments in the future and generating air pollutant emission forecasts necessary for effective evaluation. Current pollutants emissions pathways exhibit regional limitation since their based historical in-ventory could not accurately reflect the emission characteristics in QTP. This study constructed a high spatial resolution (0.1 degrees x 0.1 degrees) atmospheric pollutant emissions dataset in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding Areas (QTPA) based on updated emission inventory and various socioeconomic scenarios. We found that the pollutant emissions levels are distinct among different social development scenarios, with SSP3-7.0 demon-strating the highest magnitude of emissions. Regional and sectoral contributions exhibit substantial variations. Notably, solid fuel combustion originating from residential sectors in Northeast India and open fires in Myanmar are identified as high-density sources of PM2.5 emissions. Current pollutant emission patterns in the QTPA are more akin to SSP2-4.5, however, specific regions such as Qinghai and Tibet have exhibited more pronounced trends of emission reduction. The comparison with previous datasets reveals that the predicted pollutant emissions in this study are lower than Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (SMIP) dataset but higher than Asian-Pacific Integrated Model (AIM) dataset due to the revised inventory data and model variations, in which the latter might be the main obstacle to accurate emissions prediction.
关键词Qinghai-Tibet PlateauAir pollutantsSocioeconomic scenariosEmission prediction
英文关键词BLACK CARBON EMISSIONS; ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS; CLIMATE-CHANGE; POLLUTION; CHINA; PM2.5; AEROSOL; METHODOLOGY; IMPACTS; INDOOR
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001050839700001
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282699
作者单位Peking University; Peking University; Zhengzhou University; Southern University of Science & Technology
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Jiang, Ke,Xing, Ran,Luo, Zhihan,et al. Trends in air pollutants emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas under different socioeconomic scenarios[J],2023,899.
APA Jiang, Ke.,Xing, Ran.,Luo, Zhihan.,Li, Jin.,Men, Yatai.,...&Tao, Shu.(2023).Trends in air pollutants emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas under different socioeconomic scenarios.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,899.
MLA Jiang, Ke,et al."Trends in air pollutants emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas under different socioeconomic scenarios".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 899(2023).
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