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DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165745 |
Trends in air pollutants emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas under different socioeconomic scenarios | |
Jiang, Ke; Xing, Ran; Luo, Zhihan; Li, Jin; Men, Yatai; Shen, Huizhong; Shen, Guofeng; Tao, Shu | |
发表日期 | 2023 |
ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
卷号 | 899 |
英文摘要 | The Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) and its surrounding areas are undergoing rapid changes in socioeconomic conditions, activity sectors, and emission levels. These changes underscore the significance of conducting local environmental assessments in the future and generating air pollutant emission forecasts necessary for effective evaluation. Current pollutants emissions pathways exhibit regional limitation since their based historical in-ventory could not accurately reflect the emission characteristics in QTP. This study constructed a high spatial resolution (0.1 degrees x 0.1 degrees) atmospheric pollutant emissions dataset in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding Areas (QTPA) based on updated emission inventory and various socioeconomic scenarios. We found that the pollutant emissions levels are distinct among different social development scenarios, with SSP3-7.0 demon-strating the highest magnitude of emissions. Regional and sectoral contributions exhibit substantial variations. Notably, solid fuel combustion originating from residential sectors in Northeast India and open fires in Myanmar are identified as high-density sources of PM2.5 emissions. Current pollutant emission patterns in the QTPA are more akin to SSP2-4.5, however, specific regions such as Qinghai and Tibet have exhibited more pronounced trends of emission reduction. The comparison with previous datasets reveals that the predicted pollutant emissions in this study are lower than Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (SMIP) dataset but higher than Asian-Pacific Integrated Model (AIM) dataset due to the revised inventory data and model variations, in which the latter might be the main obstacle to accurate emissions prediction. |
关键词 | Qinghai-Tibet PlateauAir pollutantsSocioeconomic scenariosEmission prediction |
英文关键词 | BLACK CARBON EMISSIONS; ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS; CLIMATE-CHANGE; POLLUTION; CHINA; PM2.5; AEROSOL; METHODOLOGY; IMPACTS; INDOOR |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001050839700001 |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282699 |
作者单位 | Peking University; Peking University; Zhengzhou University; Southern University of Science & Technology |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jiang, Ke,Xing, Ran,Luo, Zhihan,et al. Trends in air pollutants emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas under different socioeconomic scenarios[J],2023,899. |
APA | Jiang, Ke.,Xing, Ran.,Luo, Zhihan.,Li, Jin.,Men, Yatai.,...&Tao, Shu.(2023).Trends in air pollutants emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas under different socioeconomic scenarios.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,899. |
MLA | Jiang, Ke,et al."Trends in air pollutants emissions in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and its surrounding areas under different socioeconomic scenarios".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 899(2023). |
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