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DOI10.1038/s41558-022-01592-2
Why residual emissions matter right now
Buck, Holly Jean; Carton, Wim; Lund, Jens Friis; Markusson, Nils
发表日期2023
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
起始页码351
结束页码+
卷号13期号:4
英文摘要Net-zero targets imply that continuing residual emissions will be balanced by carbon dioxide removal. However, residual emissions are typically not well defined, conceptually or quantitatively. We analysed governments' long-term strategies submitted to the UNFCCC to explore projections of residual emissions, including amounts and sectors. We found substantial levels of residual emissions at net-zero greenhouse gas emissions, on average 18% of current emissions for Annex I countries. The majority of strategies were imprecise about which sectors residual emissions would originate from, and few offered specific projections of how residual emissions could be balanced by carbon removal. Our findings indicate the need for a consistent definition of residual emissions, as well as processes that standardize and compare expectations about residual emissions across countries. This is necessary for two reasons: to avoid projections of excessive residuals and correspondent unsustainable or unfeasible carbon-removal levels and to send clearer signals about the temporality of fossil fuel use. Residual emissions, as a noticeable component of net-zero plans, should be analysed transparently and with specificity. By examining the national long-term strategies, the authors find that currently residual emissions are not clearly defined and are unlikely to be balanced by land-based carbon removal.
英文关键词MITIGATION
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000953308800001
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282484
作者单位State University of New York (SUNY) System; State University of New York (SUNY) Buffalo; Lund University; University of Copenhagen; Lancaster University
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Buck, Holly Jean,Carton, Wim,Lund, Jens Friis,et al. Why residual emissions matter right now[J],2023,13(4).
APA Buck, Holly Jean,Carton, Wim,Lund, Jens Friis,&Markusson, Nils.(2023).Why residual emissions matter right now.Nature Climate Change,13(4).
MLA Buck, Holly Jean,et al."Why residual emissions matter right now".Nature Climate Change 13.4(2023).
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