| DOI | 10.1038/s41558-023-01725-1
|
| Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments |
| Andrijevic, Marina; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus; Lissner, Tabea; Muttarak, Raya; Riahi, Keywan; Theokritoff, Emily; Thomas, Adelle; van Maanen, Nicole; Byers, Edward
|
| 发表日期 | 2023
|
| ISSN | 1758-678X
|
| EISSN | 1758-6798
|
| 起始页码 | 778
|
| 结束页码 | 787
|
| 卷号 | 13期号:8 |
| 英文摘要 | Most models of global climate change impacts and policy do not consider adaptation or societies' ability to adapt. Here the authors propose a way to better integrate adaptation in such models using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenario framework to quantify adaptive capacity via a suite of socioeconomic indicators. Climate change adaptation needs, as well as the capacity to adapt, are unequally distributed around the world. Global models that assess the impacts of climate change and policy options to reduce them most often do not elaborately represent adaptation. When they do, they rarely account for heterogeneity in societies' adaptive capacities and their temporal dynamics. Here we propose ways to quantify adaptive capacity within the framework of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, a scenario set widely used by climate impact and integrated assessment models. A large set of indicators spanning different socioeconomic dimensions can be used to assess adaptive capacity and deliver adaptation-relevant, scenario-resolved information that is crucial for more realistic assessment of whether and how climate risks can be reduced by adaptation. |
| 英文关键词 | SOCIOECONOMIC PATHWAYS; CHANGE IMPACTS; ADAPTATION; VULNERABILITY; PROJECTIONS; COUNTRIES; POLICY; NEEDS |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences
; Environmental Studies
; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
|
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001031442300001
|
| 来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change
(IF:21.722[JCR-2018],25.17[5-Year]) |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文
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| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282404
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| 作者单位 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Humboldt University of Berlin; Vienna University of Economics & Business; University of Bologna; Graz University of Technology
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Andrijevic, Marina,Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich,Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus,et al. Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments[J],2023,13(8).
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| APA |
Andrijevic, Marina.,Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich.,Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus.,Lissner, Tabea.,Muttarak, Raya.,...&Byers, Edward.(2023).Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments.Nature Climate Change,13(8).
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| MLA |
Andrijevic, Marina,et al."Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments".Nature Climate Change 13.8(2023).
|
