气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-023-01725-1
	Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments
	Andrijevic, Marina; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus; Lissner, Tabea; Muttarak, Raya; Riahi, Keywan; Theokritoff, Emily; Thomas, Adelle; van Maanen, Nicole; Byers, Edward
发表日期	2023
ISSN	1758-678X
EISSN	1758-6798
起始页码	778
结束页码	787
卷号	13 期号:8
英文摘要	Most models of global climate change impacts and policy do not consider adaptation or societies' ability to adapt. Here the authors propose a way to better integrate adaptation in such models using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenario framework to quantify adaptive capacity via a suite of socioeconomic indicators. Climate change adaptation needs, as well as the capacity to adapt, are unequally distributed around the world. Global models that assess the impacts of climate change and policy options to reduce them most often do not elaborately represent adaptation. When they do, they rarely account for heterogeneity in societies' adaptive capacities and their temporal dynamics. Here we propose ways to quantify adaptive capacity within the framework of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, a scenario set widely used by climate impact and integrated assessment models. A large set of indicators spanning different socioeconomic dimensions can be used to assess adaptive capacity and deliver adaptation-relevant, scenario-resolved information that is crucial for more realistic assessment of whether and how climate risks can be reduced by adaptation.
英文关键词	SOCIOECONOMIC PATHWAYS; CHANGE IMPACTS; ADAPTATION; VULNERABILITY; PROJECTIONS; COUNTRIES; POLICY; NEEDS
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001031442300001
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282404
作者单位	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Humboldt University of Berlin; Vienna University of Economics & Business; University of Bologna; Graz University of Technology
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Andrijevic, Marina,Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich,Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus,et al. Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments[J],2023,13(8).
APA	Andrijevic, Marina.,Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich.,Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus.,Lissner, Tabea.,Muttarak, Raya.,...&Byers, Edward.(2023).Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments.Nature Climate Change,13(8).
MLA	Andrijevic, Marina,et al."Towards scenario representation of adaptive capacity for global climate change assessments".Nature Climate Change 13.8(2023).