气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-023-01691-8
	Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users
	Kopp, Robert E. E.; Oppenheimer, Michael; O'Reilly, Jessica L. L.; Drijfhout, Sybren S. S.; Edwards, Tamsin L. L.; Fox-Kemper, Baylor; Garner, Gregory G. G.; Golledge, Nicholas R. R.; Hermans, Tim H. J.; Hewitt, Helene T. T.; Horton, Benjamin P. P.; Krinner, Gerhard; Notz, Dirk; Nowicki, Sophie; Palmer, Matthew D. D.; Slangen, Aimee B. A.; Xiao, Cunde
发表日期	2023
ISSN	1758-678X
EISSN	1758-6798
起始页码	648
结束页码	660
卷号	13 期号:7
英文摘要	Future sea-level change is characterized by both quantifiable and unquantifiable uncertainties. Effective communication of both types of uncertainty is a key challenge in translating sea-level science to inform long-term coastal planning. Scientific assessments play a key role in the translation process and have taken diverse approaches to communicating sea-level projection uncertainty. Here we review how past IPCC and regional assessments have presented sea-level projection uncertainty, how IPCC presentations have been interpreted by regional assessments and how regional assessments and policy guidance simplify projections for practical use. This information influenced the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report presentation of quantifiable and unquantifiable uncertainty, with the goal of preserving both elements as projections are adapted for regional application.
英文关键词	ANTARCTIC ICE-SHEET; CLIMATE-CHANGE; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL; CLIFF INSTABILITY; BOUNDARY OBJECTS; SCIENCE; POLICY; PROJECTIONS; INFORMATION; DEVICES
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001010701300004
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282362
作者单位	Rutgers University System; Rutgers University New Brunswick; Rutgers University System; Rutgers University New Brunswick; Princeton University; Princeton University; Indiana University System; Indiana University Bloomington; Utrecht University; University of London; King's College London; Brown University; Victoria University Wellington; Utrecht University; Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ); Utrecht University; Met Office - UK; Nanyang Technological University; Nanyang Technological University; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Communaute Universite Grenoble Alpes; Universite Grenoble Alpes (UGA); University of Hamburg; State University of New York (SUNY) System; State University of New York (SUNY) Buffalo; University of Bristol; Beijing Normal University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kopp, Robert E. E.,Oppenheimer, Michael,O'Reilly, Jessica L. L.,et al. Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users[J],2023,13(7).
APA	Kopp, Robert E. E..,Oppenheimer, Michael.,O'Reilly, Jessica L. L..,Drijfhout, Sybren S. S..,Edwards, Tamsin L. L..,...&Xiao, Cunde.(2023).Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users.Nature Climate Change,13(7).
MLA	Kopp, Robert E. E.,et al."Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users".Nature Climate Change 13.7(2023).