气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-022-01556-6
	Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties
	Basheer, Mohammed; Nechifor, Victor; Calzadilla, Alvaro; Gebrechorkos, Solomon; Pritchard, David; Forsythe, Nathan; Gonzalez, Jose M.; Sheffield, Justin; Fowler, Hayley J.; Harou, Julien J.
发表日期	2023
ISSN	1758-678X
EISSN	1758-6798
起始页码	48
结束页码	+
卷号	13 期号:1
英文摘要	The uncertainties around the hydrological and socio-economic implications of climate change pose a challenge for Nile River system management, especially with rapidly rising demands for river-system-related services and political tensions between the riparian countries. Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile can help alleviate some of these stressors and tensions. Here we present a planning framework for adaptive management of the Nile infrastructure system, combining climate projections; hydrological, river system and economy-wide simulators; and artificial intelligence multi-objective design and machine learning algorithms. We demonstrate the utility of the framework by designing a cooperative adaptive management policy for the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam that balances the transboundary economic and biophysical interests of Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt. This shows that if the three countries compromise cooperatively and adaptively in managing the dam, the national-level economic and resilience benefits are substantial, especially under climate projections with the most extreme streamflow changes.
英文关键词	WATER; ADAPTATION; FRAMEWORK; PATHWAYS; AFRICA; BASINS; LEVEL; NEXUS; MODEL; DAM
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000911303500002
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282351
作者单位	University of Manchester; University of London; University College London; University of Southampton; Newcastle University - UK; Newcastle University - UK; University of London; University College London
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Basheer, Mohammed,Nechifor, Victor,Calzadilla, Alvaro,et al. Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties[J],2023,13(1).
APA	Basheer, Mohammed.,Nechifor, Victor.,Calzadilla, Alvaro.,Gebrechorkos, Solomon.,Pritchard, David.,...&Harou, Julien J..(2023).Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties.Nature Climate Change,13(1).
MLA	Basheer, Mohammed,et al."Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties".Nature Climate Change 13.1(2023).