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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-023-01791-5 |
The quandary of detecting the signature of climate change in Antarctica | |
Casado, Mathieu; Hebert, Raphael; Faranda, Davide; Landais, Amaelle | |
发表日期 | 2023 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
英文摘要 | Global warming driven by human activities is expected to be accentuated in polar regions compared with the global average, an effect called polar amplification. Yet, for Antarctica, the amplitude of warming is still poorly constrained due to short weather observations and the large decadal climate variability. Using a compilation of 78 ice core records, we provide a high-resolution reconstruction of temperatures over the past 1,000 years for seven regions of Antarctica and direct evidence of Antarctic polar amplification at regional and continental scales. We also show that the amplitude of both natural and forced variability is not captured by the CMIP5 and six model ensemble members, which could be explained in part by the Southern Annular Mode. This shows that failing to consider the feedback loops causing polar amplification could lead to an underestimation of the magnitude of anthropogenic warming and its consequences in Antarctica. The effect of global warming on Antarctic temperatures is difficult to quantify, due to short weather observations and large internal variability. Here the authors use ice cores to identify polar amplification that results in warming in Antarctica larger than the internal variability. |
英文关键词 | WATER ISOTOPES; TEMPERATURE RECONSTRUCTIONS; SURFACE-TEMPERATURE; POLAR AMPLIFICATION; STABLE-ISOTOPES; SNOW; VARIABILITY; CIRCULATION; SENSITIVITY; STATION |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001060716200002 |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282228 |
作者单位 | Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); CNRS - National Institute for Earth Sciences & Astronomy (INSU); CEA; Universite Paris Saclay; Helmholtz Association; Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar & Marine Research; Ecole des Ponts ParisTech; Universite PSL; Ecole Normale Superieure (ENS); Universite Paris Cite |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Casado, Mathieu,Hebert, Raphael,Faranda, Davide,et al. The quandary of detecting the signature of climate change in Antarctica[J],2023. |
APA | Casado, Mathieu,Hebert, Raphael,Faranda, Davide,&Landais, Amaelle.(2023).The quandary of detecting the signature of climate change in Antarctica.Nature Climate Change. |
MLA | Casado, Mathieu,et al."The quandary of detecting the signature of climate change in Antarctica".Nature Climate Change (2023). |
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