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DOI10.1038/s41558-023-01642-3
Risk of isolation increases the expected burden from sea-level rise
Logan, T. M.; Anderson, M. J.; Reilly, A. C.
发表日期2023
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
起始页码397
结束页码+
卷号13期号:4
英文摘要The typical displacement metric for sea-level rise adaptation planning is property inundation. However, this metric may underestimate risk as it does not fully capture the wider cascading or indirect effects of sea-level rise. To address this, we propose complementing it by considering the risk of population isolation: those who may be cut off from essential services. We investigate the importance of this metric by comparing the number of people at risk from inundation to the number of people at risk from isolation. Considering inundated roadways during mean higher high water tides in the coastal United States shows, although highly spatially variable, that the increase across the United States varies between 30% and 90% and is several times higher in some states. We find that risk of isolation may occur decades sooner than risk of inundation. Both risk metrics provide critical information for evaluating adaptation options and giving priority to support for at-risk communities. Sea-level rise is threatening communities with inundation. This work considers isolation-being cut off from essential services-as a complementary metric that highlights earlier risks from high tides across the coastal United States.
英文关键词INFRASTRUCTURE; PATHWAYS
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000955633200001
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282212
作者单位University of Canterbury; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park
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Logan, T. M.,Anderson, M. J.,Reilly, A. C.. Risk of isolation increases the expected burden from sea-level rise[J],2023,13(4).
APA Logan, T. M.,Anderson, M. J.,&Reilly, A. C..(2023).Risk of isolation increases the expected burden from sea-level rise.Nature Climate Change,13(4).
MLA Logan, T. M.,et al."Risk of isolation increases the expected burden from sea-level rise".Nature Climate Change 13.4(2023).
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