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DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129361
A social-ecological coupling model for evaluating the human-water relationship in basins within the Budyko framework
Wu, Bohua; Quan, Quan; Yang, Simin; Dong, Yuxiang
发表日期2023
ISSN0022-1694
EISSN1879-2707
卷号619
英文摘要Correctly understanding the coordinated development between the social economy and the ecological environment is the key to achieving the sustainable development of river basins. Previous coupling coordination degree models are empirical ones and very complex, without physical parameters. Here, a novel social-ecological coupling model was established to meet the challenge. Within the Budyko framework, nD was adopted to characterize the social-ecological coupling coordination degree of the human-water relationship in basins. In addition, a social-ecological coupling coordination model with basins in northern Shaanxi Province, China as units. The multiple linear regression (MLR) model was used to quantitatively analyze the evolutional relationship between economic development and ecological environment. Research results show that R2 is larger than 0.6 in the comprehensive evaluation results of the novel model. This means that the model can well reflect changes in vegetation coverage and simplify expression of the coordinated development of social-ecological systems. The evaluation results of the human-water relationship in the basins are gradually improved year by year and the coordination state evolved constantly. The two systems have positive promotion effects on each other. The socialecological coupling coordination degree (D) is spatially different, and various basins are listed in a descending order as the Yanhe, Wuding, and Kuye river basins according to D. D of the three basins all evolves from 0.2 (moderate incoordination) to 0.6 (mild coordination). Combined with analysis of ARIMA time series, it is anticipated that the human-water relationship will reach moderate coordination by 2030. Finally, without changing the premise of the social-ecological coupling model, limitations of the current model factors can be improved for future research to provide policy suggestions exploring ways to coordinate development of socialecological systems in northern Shaanxi.
英文关键词Budyko framework; Social-ecological coupling model; Northern Shaanxi; Human-water relationship in basins; Linear regression
语种英语
WOS研究方向Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS类目Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号WOS:000972181700001
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/281394
作者单位Xi'an University of Technology
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wu, Bohua,Quan, Quan,Yang, Simin,et al. A social-ecological coupling model for evaluating the human-water relationship in basins within the Budyko framework[J],2023,619.
APA Wu, Bohua,Quan, Quan,Yang, Simin,&Dong, Yuxiang.(2023).A social-ecological coupling model for evaluating the human-water relationship in basins within the Budyko framework.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,619.
MLA Wu, Bohua,et al."A social-ecological coupling model for evaluating the human-water relationship in basins within the Budyko framework".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 619(2023).
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