气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters

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DOI	10.1126/science.abo1324
	Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters
	Rounce, David R.; Hock, Regine; Maussion, Fabien; Hugonnet, Romain; Kochtitzky, William; Huss, Matthias; Berthier, Etienne; Brinkerhoff, Douglas; Compagno, Loris; Copland, Luke; Farinotti, Daniel; Menounos, Brian; McNabb, Robert W.
发表日期	2023
ISSN	0036-8075
EISSN	1095-9203
起始页码	78
结束页码	83
卷号	379 期号:6627
英文摘要	Glacier mass loss affects sea level rise, water resources, and natural hazards. We present global glacier projections, excluding the ice sheets, for shared socioeconomic pathways calibrated with data for each glacier. Glaciers are projected to lose 26 +/- 6% (+1.5 degrees C) to 41 +/- 11% (+4 degrees C) of their mass by 2100, relative to 2015, for global temperature change scenarios. This corresponds to 90 +/- 26 to 154 +/- 44 millimeters sea level equivalent and will cause 49 +/- 9 to 83 +/- 7% of glaciers to disappear. Mass loss is linearly related to temperature increase and thus reductions in temperature increase reduce mass loss. Based on climate pledges from the Conference of the Parties (COP26), global mean temperature projected to increase by +2.7 degrees C, which would lead to a sea level contribution of 115 +/- 40 millimeters and cause widespread deglaciation in most mid-latitude regions by 2100.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号	WOS:000920432900007
来源期刊	SCIENCE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/281280
作者单位	Carnegie Mellon University; University of Alaska System; University of Alaska Fairbanks; University of Oslo; Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; ETH Zurich; Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain; Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow & Landscape Research; Universite de Toulouse; Universite Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); Laboratoire d'Etudes en Geophysique et oceanographie spatiales; University of Ottawa; University of New England - Maine; University of Fribourg; University of Montana System; University of Montana; University of Northern British Columbia; Hakai Institute; Ulster University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rounce, David R.,Hock, Regine,Maussion, Fabien,et al. Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters[J],2023,379(6627).
APA	Rounce, David R..,Hock, Regine.,Maussion, Fabien.,Hugonnet, Romain.,Kochtitzky, William.,...&McNabb, Robert W..(2023).Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters.SCIENCE,379(6627).
MLA	Rounce, David R.,et al."Global glacier change in the 21st century: Every increase in temperature matters".SCIENCE 379.6627(2023).