Climate Change Data Portal
DOI | 10.3390/microorganisms11020468 |
Fungus under a Changing Climate: Modeling the Current and Future Global Distribution of Fusarium oxysporum Using Geographical Information System Data | |
Alkhalifah, Dalal Hussien M.; Damra, Eman; Melhem, Moaz Beni; Hozzein, Wael N. | |
发表日期 | 2023 |
EISSN | 2076-2607 |
卷号 | 11期号:2 |
英文摘要 | The impact of climate change on biodiversity has been the subject of numerous research in recent years. The multiple elements of climate change are expected to affect all levels of biodiversity, including microorganisms. The common worldwide fungus Fusarium oxysporum colonizes plant roots as well as soil and several other substrates. It causes predominant vascular wilt disease in different strategic crops such as banana, tomato, palm, and even cotton, thereby leading to severe losses. So, a robust maximum entropy algorithm was implemented in the well-known modeling program Maxent to forecast the current and future global distribution of F. oxysporum under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs 2.6 and 8.5) for 2050 and 2070. The Maxent model was calibrated using 1885 occurrence points. The resulting models were fit with AUC and TSS values equal to 0.9 (+/- 0.001) and 0.7, respectively. Increasing temperatures due to global warming caused differences in habitat suitability between the current and future distributions of F. oxysporum, especially in Europe. The most effective parameter of this fungus distribution was the annual mean temperature (Bio 1); the two-dimensional niche analysis indicated that the fungus has a wide precipitation range because it can live in both dry and rainy habitats as well as a range of temperatures in which it can live to certain limits. The predicted shifts should act as an alarm sign for decision makers, particularly in countries that depend on such staple crops harmed by the fungus. |
英文关键词 | maxent; species distribution modeling; Fusarium oxysporum; climate change |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Microbiology |
WOS类目 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000940514700001 |
来源期刊 | MICROORGANISMS |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/281164 |
作者单位 | Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University; King Saud University; Egyptian Knowledge Bank (EKB); Beni Suef University |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alkhalifah, Dalal Hussien M.,Damra, Eman,Melhem, Moaz Beni,et al. Fungus under a Changing Climate: Modeling the Current and Future Global Distribution of Fusarium oxysporum Using Geographical Information System Data[J],2023,11(2). |
APA | Alkhalifah, Dalal Hussien M.,Damra, Eman,Melhem, Moaz Beni,&Hozzein, Wael N..(2023).Fungus under a Changing Climate: Modeling the Current and Future Global Distribution of Fusarium oxysporum Using Geographical Information System Data.MICROORGANISMS,11(2). |
MLA | Alkhalifah, Dalal Hussien M.,et al."Fungus under a Changing Climate: Modeling the Current and Future Global Distribution of Fusarium oxysporum Using Geographical Information System Data".MICROORGANISMS 11.2(2023). |
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