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DOI10.1038/s41467-023-36129-4
Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates
Liu, Ke; Harrison, Matthew Tom; Yan, Haoliang; Liu, De Li; Meinke, Holger; Hoogenboom, Gerrit; Wang, Bin; Peng, Bin; Guan, Kaiyu; Jaegermeyr, Jonas; Wang, Enli; Zhang, Feng; Yin, Xiaogang; Archontoulis, Sotirios; Nie, Lixiao; Badea, Ana; Man, Jianguo; Wallach, Daniel; Zhao, Jin; Benjumea, Ana Borrego; Fahad, Shah; Tian, Xiaohai; Wang, Weilu; Tao, Fulu; Zhang, Zhao; Roetter, Reimund; Yuan, Youlu; Zhu, Min; Dai, Panhong; Nie, Jiangwen; Yang, Yadong; Zhang, Yunbo; Zhou, Meixue
发表日期2023
EISSN2041-1723
卷号14期号:1
英文摘要Extreme weather events threaten food security, yet global assessments of impacts caused by crop waterlogging are rare. Here we first develop a paradigm that distils common stress patterns across environments, genotypes and climate horizons. Second, we embed improved process-based understanding into a farming systems model to discern changes in global crop waterlogging under future climates. Third, we develop avenues for adapting cropping systems to waterlogging contextualised by environment. We find that yield penalties caused by waterlogging increase from 3-11% historically to 10-20% by 2080, with penalties reflecting a trade-off between the duration of waterlogging and the timing of waterlogging relative to crop stage. We document greater potential for waterlogging-tolerant genotypes in environments with longer temperate growing seasons (e.g., UK, France, Russia, China), compared with environments with higher annualised ratios of evapotranspiration to precipitation (e.g., Australia). Under future climates, altering sowing time and adoption of waterlogging-tolerant genotypes reduces yield penalties by 18%, while earlier sowing of winter genotypes alleviates waterlogging by 8%. We highlight the serendipitous outcome wherein waterlogging stress patterns under present conditions are likely to be similar to those in the future, suggesting that adaptations for future climates could be designed using stress patterns realised today.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS类目Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号WOS:001053836600004
来源期刊NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/281152
作者单位University of Tasmania; Yangtze University; Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences; Institute of Cotton Research, CAAS; NSW Department of Primary Industries; University of New South Wales Sydney; State University System of Florida; University of Florida; University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA); NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Goddard Institute for Space Studies; Columbia University; Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO); Lanzhou University; China Agricultural University; Iowa State University; Hainan University; Agriculture & Agri Food Canada; Huazhong Agricultural University; INRAE; Yangzhou University; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research, CAS; Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke); Beijing...
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GB/T 7714
Liu, Ke,Harrison, Matthew Tom,Yan, Haoliang,et al. Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates[J],2023,14(1).
APA Liu, Ke.,Harrison, Matthew Tom.,Yan, Haoliang.,Liu, De Li.,Meinke, Holger.,...&Zhou, Meixue.(2023).Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,14(1).
MLA Liu, Ke,et al."Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 14.1(2023).
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